Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 66.62%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 13.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.43%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.55%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 0-1 (4.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Benfica in this match.
Result | ||
Benfica | Draw | Rio Ave |
66.62% | 20.12% | 13.25% |
Both teams to score 46.48% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.74% | 47.26% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.51% | 69.49% |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.72% | 13.28% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.9% | 40.09% |
Rio Ave Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.6% | 46.39% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.97% | 82.02% |
Score Analysis |
Benfica | Draw | Rio Ave |
2-0 @ 12.55% 1-0 @ 12.43% 2-1 @ 9.64% 3-0 @ 8.45% 3-1 @ 6.49% 4-0 @ 4.27% 4-1 @ 3.28% 3-2 @ 2.49% 5-0 @ 1.72% 5-1 @ 1.32% 4-2 @ 1.26% Other @ 2.7% Total : 66.61% | 1-1 @ 9.55% 0-0 @ 6.16% 2-2 @ 3.7% Other @ 0.7% Total : 20.12% | 0-1 @ 4.73% 1-2 @ 3.67% 0-2 @ 1.82% 2-3 @ 0.95% 1-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.15% Total : 13.25% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 39 | 5 | 34 | 33 |
2 | Porto | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 8 | 20 | 27 |
3 | Benfica | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 7 | 21 | 25 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 21 |
5 | Braga | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 20 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 18 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 17 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 17 |
9 | Casa Pia | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 13 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 12 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 10 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 10 |
13 | AVS | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 10 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 9 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 9 |
16 | Nacional | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 8 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 8 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | -13 | 5 |
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