Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Oct 11, 2022 at 8pm UK

Parc des Princes

PSG
1 - 1
Benfica

Mbappe (40' pen.)
Sarabia (29'), Verratti (61')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Mario (62' pen.)
Otamendi (21'), Mario (43'), Luis (45+3'), Fernandez (69'), Gilberto (83')

Kylian Mbappe breaks record as Paris Saint-Germain held by Benfica again

Kylian Mbappe scores a record-breaking 31st Champions League goal for Paris Saint-Germain in their 1-1 draw with Benfica in Group H.

Oct 11, 21:54

Kylian Mbappe breaks Paris Saint-Germain Champions League goalscoring record

Paris Saint-Germain forward Kylian Mbappe becomes the club's all-time leading goalscorer in the Champions League with his 31st in the competition for the French giants.

Oct 11, 21:13

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Reims 0-0 PSG
Saturday, October 8 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Benfica

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Benfica 4-2 Rio Ave
Saturday, October 8 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Paris Saint-Germain 2-1 Benfica

This has all of the makings of a very interesting match, and it would not be a surprise to see a talented Benfica side pick up a positive result on Tuesday night. PSG's home advantage could be key, though, and we are just backing the French champions to edge a tight game to move onto 10 points in the section. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 46.68%. A win for Benfica had a probability of 29.9% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.91%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Benfica win was 1-2 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.

Result
Paris Saint-Germain	Draw	Benfica
46.68% ( -0.08)	23.42% ( 0.01)	29.9% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 61.1% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.69% (

-0.01)

40.31% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.31% (

-0.01)

62.68% (

0.01)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.45% (

-0.03)

17.55% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.91% (

-0.06)

48.09% (

0.06)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.1% (

0.04)

25.89% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.12% (

0.06)

60.88% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Paris Saint-Germain 46.68%

Benfica 29.9%

Draw 23.41%

Paris Saint-Germain	Draw	Benfica
2-1 @ 9.3% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.91% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.88% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.39% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.99% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.64% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.35% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.74% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.59% ( -0) Other @ 3.9% Total : 46.68%	1-1 @ 10.68% 2-2 @ 6.28% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.55% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.64% ( 0) Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.41%	1-2 @ 7.22% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.14% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.15% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.25% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.83% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.1% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 2.39% Total : 29.9%