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Serie A
Spezia Calcio logo
Serie A | Gameweek 19
Jan 22, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stadio Alberto Picco
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Spezia
0 - 2
Roma


Bourabia (36'), Caldara (40'), Reca (58')
FT(HT: 0-1)
El Shaarawy (45'), Abraham (49')
Celik (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Spezia and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Spezia

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Atalanta 5-2 Spezia
Thursday, January 19 at 2pm in Coppa Italia

Roma

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Roma 2-0 Fiorentina
Sunday, January 15 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Spezia 1-2 Roma

 Having lost just once on home soil this season, Spezia are draw specialists at the Picco. They surely cannot repeat the trick on Sunday, though, against opponents with momentum on their side - Dybala and Abraham are striking up an understanding which will be too hot for the hosts to handle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 56.82%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 20.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.91%) and 0-2 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-0 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
SpeziaDrawRoma
20.73% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 22.46% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 56.82% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Both teams to score 54.61% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.56% (0.075000000000003 0.08)44.44% (-0.074000000000005 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.19% (0.072000000000003 0.07)66.81% (-0.069999999999993 -0.07)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.57% (0.046999999999997 0.05)35.43% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.81% (0.048999999999999 0.05)72.19% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.57% (0.030000000000001 0.03)15.42% (-0.028 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.74% (0.057000000000002 0.06)44.25% (-0.055 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Spezia 20.73%
    Roma 56.81%
    Draw 22.45%
SpeziaDrawRoma
1-0 @ 5.67% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-1 @ 5.5% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 2.94% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 1.9% (0.0029999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 1.78% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.02% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 20.73%
1-1 @ 10.59% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.47% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.14% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.11% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.45%
0-1 @ 10.21% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 9.91% (0.0010000000000012 0)
0-2 @ 9.55% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 6.17% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-3 @ 5.95% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 3.2% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.88% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
0-4 @ 2.78% (0.0029999999999997 0)
2-4 @ 1.5% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-5 @ 1.08% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-5 @ 1.04% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 56.81%

How you voted: Spezia vs Roma

Spezia
8.1%
Draw
15.1%
Roma
76.7%
86
Head to Head
Feb 27, 2022 5.05pm
Spezia
0-1
Roma

Agudelo (30'), Amian (39'), Kiwior (86'), Maggiore (90+7')
Amian (45')
Abraham (90+9' pen.)
Mancini (45+3'), Kumbulla (64'), Zaniolo (90+5')
Dec 13, 2021 7.45pm
Roma
2-0
Spezia
Smalling (6'), Ibanez (56')
Vina (54'), Kumbulla (65'), Afena-Gyan (70')
Afena-Gyan (90+3')

Gyasi (90+2')
May 23, 2021 7.45pm
Spezia
2-2
Roma
Verde (6'), Pobega (38')
El Shaarawy (52'), Mkhitaryan (85')
Kumbulla (90+4')
Jan 23, 2021 2pm
Roma
4-3
Spezia
Mayoral (17', 52'), Karsdorp (55'), Pellegrini (90+2')
Peres (87'), Mayoral (87'), Pellegrini (90+3')
Piccoli (24'), Farias (59'), Verde (90')
Chabot (21')
Jan 19, 2021 8.15pm
Rounds of 16
Roma
2-4
Spezia
Pellegrini (43' pen.), Mkhitaryan (73')
Mancini (51'), Pellegrini (111')
Mancini (92'), Lopez (92')
Galabinov (6' pen.), Saponara (15', 119'), Verde (107')
Agudelo (13'), Ismajli (24'), Dell'Orco (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108
> Serie A Full Table


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