Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 55.76%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 22.28% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.8%) and 0-2 (8.55%). The likeliest Spezia win was 2-1 (5.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
Result | ||
Spezia | Draw | Roma |
22.28% | 21.97% | 55.76% |
Both teams to score 58.59% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.75% | 40.25% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.38% | 62.63% |
Spezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.39% | 31.61% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.99% | 68.02% |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.66% | 14.34% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.81% | 42.2% |
Score Analysis |
Spezia | Draw | Roma |
2-1 @ 5.84% 1-0 @ 5.22% 2-0 @ 3.01% 3-1 @ 2.24% 3-2 @ 2.18% 3-0 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.64% Total : 22.28% | 1-1 @ 10.14% 2-2 @ 5.67% 0-0 @ 4.53% 3-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 0.22% Total : 21.97% | 1-2 @ 9.85% 0-1 @ 8.8% 0-2 @ 8.55% 1-3 @ 6.37% 0-3 @ 5.53% 2-3 @ 3.67% 1-4 @ 3.09% 0-4 @ 2.69% 2-4 @ 1.78% 1-5 @ 1.2% 0-5 @ 1.04% Other @ 3.17% Total : 55.76% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 25 |
2 | Inter Milan | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 24 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 29 | 14 | 15 | 22 |
4 | Fiorentina | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 22 |
5 | Lazio | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 14 | 10 | 22 |
6 | Juventus | 11 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 21 |
7 | AC Milan | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 17 |
8 | Udinese | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 16 |
9 | Bologna | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Torino | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 14 |
11 | Empoli | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 14 |
12 | Roma | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 13 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 12 |
14 | Como | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 10 |
15 | Genoa | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 10 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 9 |
17 | Parma | 11 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 9 |
18 | Monza | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 8 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 8 |
20 | Lecce | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 20 | -16 | 8 |
> Serie A Full Table |