MX23RW : Friday, November 8 08:36:18| >> :300:86500:86500:
Milan logo
Atalanta logo
Bologna logo
Cagliari logo
Empoli logo
Fiorentina logo
Genoa logo
Hellas Verona logo
Inter logo
Juventus logo
Lazio logo
Lecce logo
Monza
Napoli logo
Parma logo
Roma logo
Torino logo
Udinese logo
Venezia
Spezia Calcio logo
Serie A | Gameweek 27
Feb 27, 2022 at 5.05pm UK
Stadio Alberto Picco, La Spezia, Italy
Roma logo

Spezia
0 - 1
Roma


Agudelo (30'), Amian (39'), Kiwior (86'), Maggiore (90+7')
Amian (45')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Abraham (90+9' pen.)
Mancini (45+3'), Kumbulla (64'), Zaniolo (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Spezia and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Spezia 1-2 Roma

It will surely not be a straightforward process - as only Empoli have conceded more goals than Roma's 13 in Serie A during 2022 - but the visitors can return to the capital with all three points. Having lost consecutive games and starting without their first-choice striker, Spezia's downward trend will continue - with Juventus also on the horizon next week. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 55.76%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 22.28% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.8%) and 0-2 (8.55%). The likeliest Spezia win was 2-1 (5.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
SpeziaDrawRoma
22.28%21.97%55.76%
Both teams to score 58.59%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.75%40.25%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.38%62.63%
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.39%31.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.99%68.02%
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.66%14.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.81%42.2%
Score Analysis
    Spezia 22.28%
    Roma 55.76%
    Draw 21.97%
SpeziaDrawRoma
2-1 @ 5.84%
1-0 @ 5.22%
2-0 @ 3.01%
3-1 @ 2.24%
3-2 @ 2.18%
3-0 @ 1.15%
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 22.28%
1-1 @ 10.14%
2-2 @ 5.67%
0-0 @ 4.53%
3-3 @ 1.41%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 21.97%
1-2 @ 9.85%
0-1 @ 8.8%
0-2 @ 8.55%
1-3 @ 6.37%
0-3 @ 5.53%
2-3 @ 3.67%
1-4 @ 3.09%
0-4 @ 2.69%
2-4 @ 1.78%
1-5 @ 1.2%
0-5 @ 1.04%
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 55.76%

How you voted: Spezia vs Roma

Spezia
18.3%
Draw
18.3%
Roma
63.4%
71
Head to Head
Dec 13, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Roma
2-0
Spezia
Smalling (6'), Ibanez (56')
Vina (54'), Kumbulla (65'), Afena-Gyan (70')
Afena-Gyan (90+3')

Gyasi (90+2')
May 23, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 38
Spezia
2-2
Roma
Verde (6'), Pobega (38')
El Shaarawy (52'), Mkhitaryan (85')
Kumbulla (90+4')
Jan 23, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 19
Roma
4-3
Spezia
Mayoral (17', 52'), Karsdorp (55'), Pellegrini (90+2')
Peres (87'), Mayoral (87'), Pellegrini (90+3')
Piccoli (24'), Farias (59'), Verde (90')
Chabot (21')
Jan 19, 2021 8.15pm
Rounds of 16
Roma
2-4
Spezia
Pellegrini (43' pen.), Mkhitaryan (73')
Mancini (51'), Pellegrini (111')
Mancini (92'), Lopez (92')
Galabinov (6' pen.), Saponara (15', 119'), Verde (107')
Agudelo (13'), Ismajli (24'), Dell'Orco (90+1')
Dec 16, 2015 1.30pm
Round Five
Roma
0-0
Spezia
Spezia win 4-2 on penalties
Ucan (19'), Vainqueur (40'), Rudiger (91')
Terzi (34'), Nene (35')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Bengals
34-35
Ravens
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli118121881025
2Inter Milan1173125131224
3Atalanta BCAtalanta1171329141522
4Fiorentina116412291322
5Lazio1171324141022
6Juventus115601971221
7AC Milan105231711617
8Udinese115151416-216
9Bologna103611211115
10Torino114251516-114
11Empoli1135389-114
12Roma113441214-213
13Hellas VeronaHellas Verona114071624-812
14Como122461323-1010
15Genoa12246922-1310
16CagliariCagliari11236919-109
17Parma111641417-39
18Monza111551014-48
19VeneziaVenezia112271019-98
20Lecce11227420-168


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!