Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 69.14%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 13.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 1-0 (8.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.03%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-2 (3.85%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
Result | ||
Roma | Draw | Spezia |
69.14% | 17.49% | 13.36% |
Both teams to score 56.07% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.14% | 34.85% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.17% | 56.83% |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.88% | 9.11% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.05% | 30.95% |
Spezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.69% | 38.31% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.93% | 75.06% |
Score Analysis |
Roma | Draw | Spezia |
2-0 @ 10.01% 2-1 @ 9.61% 1-0 @ 8.36% 3-0 @ 8% 3-1 @ 7.68% 4-0 @ 4.79% 4-1 @ 4.6% 3-2 @ 3.68% 5-0 @ 2.3% 4-2 @ 2.21% 5-1 @ 2.2% 5-2 @ 1.06% 6-0 @ 0.92% Other @ 3.73% Total : 69.14% | 1-1 @ 8.03% 2-2 @ 4.61% 0-0 @ 3.49% 3-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 0.19% Total : 17.49% | 1-2 @ 3.85% 0-1 @ 3.35% 0-2 @ 1.61% 2-3 @ 1.48% 1-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 1.85% Total : 13.36% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |