Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 17

Jan 8, 2023 at 2pm UK

Stadio Alberto Picco

Spezia
0 - 0
Lecce

Baschirotto (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Spezia and Lecce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Spezia

All competitions

Last Game: Spezia 2-2 Atalanta
Wednesday, January 4 at 1.30pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Lecce

All competitions

Last Game: Lecce 2-1 Lazio
Wednesday, January 4 at 3.30pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Spezia's collapse against Atalanta would have concerned their manager Gotti, who is likely to be forced into starting an inexperienced youngster in goal due to injuries. As such, we would not be surprised if Lecce extend their winning run to four matches on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 37.47%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 35.79% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.19%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Spezia win was 1-0 (9.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Spezia	Draw	Lecce
35.79% ( 0.05)	26.74% ( 0.09)	37.47% ( -0.15)

Both teams to score 51.74% (

-0.3)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.67% (

-0.39)

53.32% (

0.38)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.13% (

-0.33)

74.87% (

0.32)

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.43% (

-0.16)

28.56% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.64% (

-0.19)

64.36% (

0.19)

Lecce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.43% (

-0.27)

27.57% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.9% (

-0.35)

63.09% (

0.35)

Score Analysis

Spezia 35.79%

Lecce 37.46%

Draw 26.74%

Spezia	Draw	Lecce
1-0 @ 9.87% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 7.97% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.18% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.33% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.58% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.14% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.68% Total : 35.79%	1-1 @ 12.71% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.88% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.74%	0-1 @ 10.14% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 8.19% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 6.54% 1-3 @ 3.52% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 0.9% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.03% Total : 37.46%