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Serie A | Gameweek 4
Aug 31, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Allianz Stadium
Spezia Calcio logo

Juventus
2 - 0
Spezia

Vlahovic (9'), Milik (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Bastoni (11'), Holm (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie A clash between Juventus and Spezia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Juventus 1-1 Roma
Saturday, August 27 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Spezia 2-2 Sassuolo
Saturday, August 27 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Juventus 1-0 Spezia

Though their squad feels particularly thin due to injuries, Juventus can continue their supremacy in this match-up of Serie A royalty with provincial hopefuls. It may not be pretty to watch, but the hosts have enough individual quality to decide the game in their favour. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 69.99%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 11.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.09%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.67%), while for a Spezia win it was 0-1 (3.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Juventus in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Juventus.

Result
JuventusDrawSpezia
69.99% (-0.244 -0.24) 18.22% (0.094999999999999 0.09) 11.78% (0.146 0.15)
Both teams to score 48.26% (0.16999999999999 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.5% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)42.5% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.1% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)64.9% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.04% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)10.96% (0.071 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.81% (-0.16200000000001 -0.16)35.18% (0.159 0.16)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.2% (0.231 0.23)45.8% (-0.235 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.43% (0.181 0.18)81.56% (-0.18400000000001 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    Juventus 69.98%
    Spezia 11.78%
    Draw 18.22%
JuventusDrawSpezia
2-0 @ 12.26% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-0 @ 11.09% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.58% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 9.04% (-0.068 -0.07)
3-1 @ 7.06% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-0 @ 5% (-0.053 -0.05)
4-1 @ 3.9% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.76% (0.015 0.02)
5-0 @ 2.21% (-0.03 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.73% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.52% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.82%
Total : 69.98%
1-1 @ 8.67% (0.043999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 5.02% (0.008 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.74% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 18.22%
0-1 @ 3.92% (0.031 0.03)
1-2 @ 3.38% (0.039 0.04)
0-2 @ 1.53% (0.022 0.02)
2-3 @ 0.97% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 11.78%

How you voted: Juventus vs Spezia

Juventus
89.1%
Draw
9.2%
Spezia
1.7%
119
Head to Head
Mar 6, 2022 5pm
Juventus
1-0
Spezia
Morata (21')
Vlahovic (57'), Pellegrini (61'), Bernardeschi (68')

Erlic (54'), Motta (59'), Bourabia (90+4')
Sep 22, 2021 5.30pm
Spezia
2-3
Juventus
Gyasi (33'), Antiste (49')
Nikolaou (85'), N'Zola (90+4')
Kean (28'), Chiesa (66'), De Ligt (72')
Morata (90+2')
Mar 2, 2021 7.45pm
Juventus
3-0
Spezia
Morata (62'), Chiesa (71'), Ronaldo (89')
Frabotta (10'), Demiral (90')
Nov 1, 2020 2pm
Spezia
1-4
Juventus
Pobega (32')
Chabot (49'), Bartolomei (75'), Estevez (87')
Morata (14'), Ronaldo (59', 76'), Rabiot (67')
Rabiot (69')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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