Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 58.27%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 21.58% and a draw had a probability of 20.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.44%) and 3-1 (7%). The likeliest Lyon win was 1-2 (5.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Lyon |
58.27% ( -0) | 20.15% ( 0.05) | 21.58% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 64.25% ( -0.27) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.6% ( -0.32) | 32.4% ( 0.32) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.97% ( -0.38) | 54.03% ( 0.38) |
Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.93% ( -0.1) | 11.07% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.57% ( -0.22) | 35.43% ( 0.23) |
Lyon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.25% ( -0.23) | 27.75% ( 0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.67% ( -0.29) | 63.33% ( 0.29) |
Score Analysis |
Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Lyon |
2-1 @ 9.54% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 7.44% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 7% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.76% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 5.46% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 4.49% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 3.85% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 3% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.7% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.32% ( -0) 5-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.02) 4-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.1% Total : 58.27% | 1-1 @ 8.67% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.11% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 3.07% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.38% Total : 20.15% | 1-2 @ 5.56% ( 0) 0-1 @ 3.94% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 2.52% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 3.5% Total : 21.58% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 36 | 10 | 26 | 32 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 26 |
3 | Marseille | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 23 |
4 | Lille | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 19 |
5 | Lyon | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 19 |
6 | Reims | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 18 |
7 | Nice | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 17 |
8 | Lens | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 17 |
9 | Auxerre | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 16 |
10 | Toulouse | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
11 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 13 |
12 | Brest | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 13 |
13 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 25 | -14 | 13 |
14 | Rennes | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 11 |
15 | NantesNantes | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 10 |
16 | Angers | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 10 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 9 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 32 | -21 | 7 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |