Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 29

Apr 2, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Parc des Princes

PSG
0 - 1
Lyon

Chadaille Bitshiabu (12'), Donnarumma (36'), Sanches (42')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Barcola (56')
Kumbedi (42'), Tolisso (90+4'), Barcola (90+3')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: PSG 0-2 Rennes
Sunday, March 19 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lyon

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Lyon 1-1 Nantes
Friday, March 17 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Paris Saint-Germain 2-1 Lyon

With Lyon seemingly growing in confidence on the goalscoring front and PSG simply unable to shut up shop on home soil, an entertaining affair between two giants of the French game could very well materialise here. As alarm-raising as PSG's loss to Rennes was, the champions were working with a ravaged backline - which should not be the case here - and Galtier's refreshed troops should revert to type with all three points, but not without a couple of scares along the way. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 58.27%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 21.58% and a draw had a probability of 20.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.44%) and 3-1 (7%). The likeliest Lyon win was 1-2 (5.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.

Result
Paris Saint-Germain	Draw	Lyon
58.27% ( -0)	20.15% ( 0.05)	21.58% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 64.25% (

-0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.6% (

-0.32)

32.4% (

0.32)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.97% (

-0.38)

54.03% (

0.38)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.93% (

-0.1)

11.07% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.57% (

-0.22)

35.43% (

0.23)

Lyon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.25% (

-0.23)

27.75% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.67% (

-0.29)

63.33% (

0.29)

Score Analysis

Paris Saint-Germain 58.27%

Lyon 21.58%

Draw 20.15%

Paris Saint-Germain	Draw	Lyon
2-1 @ 9.54% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 7.44% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 7% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.76% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 5.46% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 4.49% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 3.85% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 3% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.7% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.32% ( -0) 5-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.02) 4-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.1% Total : 58.27%	1-1 @ 8.67% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.11% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 3.07% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.38% Total : 20.15%	1-2 @ 5.56% ( 0) 0-1 @ 3.94% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 2.52% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 3.5% Total : 21.58%