Brest1 - 2PSG
The Match
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Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, March 5 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Wednesday, March 8 at 8pm in Champions League
We said: Brest 1-3 Paris Saint-Germain
While the premature Champions League exit may well have a significant impact on PSG - more specifically, PSG's manager - this summer, the capital outfit do not have a history of letting European disappointment seep into domestic proceedings. PSG are unbeaten in their last five league matches immediately following their Champions League elimination, a run the capital club are expected to extend when they visit Brest, one of Ligue 1's worst home sides, this weekend. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 64.7%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Brest had a probability of 16.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.18%) and 1-3 (7.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.93%), while for a Brest win it was 2-1 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Paris Saint-Germain in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Paris Saint-Germain.
| Result | ||
| Brest | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
16.96% ( 0.34) | 18.33% ( 0.1) | 64.7% ( -0.44) |
| Both teams to score 62.44% ( 0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.98% ( 0.15) | 31.01% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.59% ( 0.18) | 52.4% ( -0.18) |
| Brest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.69% ( 0.46) | 31.31% ( -0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.33% ( 0.53) | 67.66% ( -0.53) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.9% ( -0.06) | 9.1% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 69.09% ( -0.14) | 30.9% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brest | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2-1 @ 4.6% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 3.31% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.14% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 1.92% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 1.78% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.21% Total : 16.96% | 1-1 @ 7.93% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.52% ( 0.06)0-0 @ 2.85% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.33% Total : 18.33% | 1-2 @ 9.5% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.18% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 7.59% ( -0.03)0-1 @ 6.83% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 6.54% ( -0.11)1-4 @ 4.55% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 4.41% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 3.92% ( -0.08)2-4 @ 2.64% ( 0.02)1-5 @ 2.18% ( -0.02)0-5 @ 1.88% ( -0.04)2-5 @ 1.27% ( 0)3-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.02)Other @ 4.18% Total : 64.7% |
