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Lorient logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 33
Apr 20, 2022 at 6pm UK
Stade du Moustoir
Metz logo

Lorient
1 - 0
Metz

Ouattara (90+4')
Laporte (22'), Mendes (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Amadou (36'), Nguette (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Lorient and Metz, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lorient 1-1 Troyes
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: PSG 5-0 Metz
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lorient 1-1 Metz

A home game against the division's bottom-placed side is as ideal as it gets for Lorient in their efforts to pull clear of the relegation zone. However, they face a Metz outfit who have their backs against the wall, and we think that the visitors will do enough to earn a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 58.51%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Metz had a probability of 17.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.59%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for a Metz win it was 0-1 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lorient in this match.

Result
LorientDrawMetz
58.51%23.68%17.81%
Both teams to score 46.06%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.62%53.38%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.08%74.91%
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.99%18.01%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.12%48.88%
Metz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.17%43.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.02%79.98%
Score Analysis
    Lorient 58.5%
    Metz 17.81%
    Draw 23.68%
LorientDrawMetz
1-0 @ 13.53%
2-0 @ 11.59%
2-1 @ 9.57%
3-0 @ 6.63%
3-1 @ 5.47%
4-0 @ 2.84%
4-1 @ 2.34%
3-2 @ 2.26%
5-0 @ 0.97%
4-2 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 58.5%
1-1 @ 11.16%
0-0 @ 7.89%
2-2 @ 3.95%
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 23.68%
0-1 @ 6.51%
1-2 @ 4.6%
0-2 @ 2.69%
1-3 @ 1.27%
2-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 17.81%

How you voted: Lorient vs Metz

Lorient
66.7%
Draw
23.8%
Metz
9.5%
42
Head to Head
Dec 12, 2021 2pm
Metz
4-1
Lorient
Sarr (5'), Jenz (9' og.), Boulaya (19'), Niane (80')
Pajot (49'), Sarr (89')
Jenz (69')
Abergel (17'), Laporte (28')
May 16, 2021 8pm
Lorient
2-1
Metz
Wissa (31' pen.), Hergault (74')
Grbic (90+1')
Traore (72')
Kouyate (23'), Bronn (30'), Ambrose (65'), Centonze (84')
Oct 4, 2020 2pm
Metz
3-1
Lorient
Niane (44' pen., 59', 64')
Angban (40')
Hamel (36')
Abergel (52'), Wissa (86')
Mar 31, 2019 12pm
Metz
2-1
Lorient
Diallo (30' pen.), Gakpa (77')
Boulaya (87')
Nguette (34')
Claude Maurice (82')
Meslier (28'), Sissoko (54'), Sarr (67'), Lemoine (90')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG65102051516
2Marseille5410156913
3MonacoMonaco5410102813
4Lens52305239
5NantesNantes52217438
6Reims52217708
7Nice521214687
8Rennes621310917
9Lille52128717
10StrasbourgStrasbourg5131111016
11Le HavreLe Havre5203710-36
12Auxerre6204812-46
13Brest6204813-56
14Toulouse512246-25
15Lyon5113611-54
16Montpellier HSCMontpellier5113515-104
17Saint-EtienneSt Etienne5104115-143
18Angers502339-62


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