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Ligue 1
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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 7
Oct 1, 2023 at 4.05pm UK
Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir
Montpellier

Lorient
0 - 3
Montpellier


Ponceau (20'), Talbi (33')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Adams (30', 89'), Savanier (73' pen.)
Esteve (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lorient and Montpellier HSC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lorient

All competitions
Last Game: Nantes 5-3 Lorient
Saturday, September 23 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Montpellier HSC

All competitions
Last Game: Montpellier 0-0 Rennes
Sunday, September 24 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lorient 2-2 Montpellier HSC

 Both sides have been among the goals frequently this season, but letting in too many means they are both early relegation candidates. The two have been prone to drawing matches this season, and the same could well happen again, extending Montpellier's unbeaten run to 14 matches in this fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 45.05%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 31.06% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.17%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest Lorient win was 2-1 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montpellier HSC would win this match.

Result
LorientDrawMontpellier HSC
31.06% (-0.805 -0.81) 23.89% (-0.229 -0.23) 45.05% (1.034 1.03)
Both teams to score 60.07% (0.423 0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.05% (0.72499999999999 0.72)41.94% (-0.72499999999999 -0.72)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.65% (0.725 0.73)64.35% (-0.72500000000001 -0.73)
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.03% (-0.146 -0.15)25.97% (0.146 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.02% (-0.198 -0.2)60.98% (0.198 0.2)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.15% (0.73099999999999 0.73)18.85% (-0.73 -0.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.69% (1.206 1.21)50.31% (-1.206 -1.21)
Score Analysis
    Lorient 31.06%
    Montpellier HSC 45.05%
    Draw 23.89%
LorientDrawMontpellier HSC
2-1 @ 7.43% (-0.132 -0.13)
1-0 @ 6.6% (-0.246 -0.25)
2-0 @ 4.45% (-0.185 -0.19)
3-1 @ 3.34% (-0.074 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.78% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-0 @ 2% (-0.092 -0.09)
4-1 @ 1.13% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-2 @ 0.94% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 31.06%
1-1 @ 11.01% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-2 @ 6.19% (0.033 0.03)
0-0 @ 4.9% (-0.161 -0.16)
3-3 @ 1.55% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.89%
1-2 @ 9.19% (0.087 0.09)
0-1 @ 8.17% (-0.077 -0.08)
0-2 @ 6.82% (0.093 0.09)
1-3 @ 5.11% (0.164 0.16)
0-3 @ 3.79% (0.137 0.14)
2-3 @ 3.45% (0.096 0.1)
1-4 @ 2.13% (0.116 0.12)
0-4 @ 1.58% (0.092 0.09)
2-4 @ 1.44% (0.072 0.07)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 45.05%

How you voted: Lorient vs Montpellier

Lorient
25.9%
Draw
39.7%
Montpellier HSC
34.5%
58
Head to Head
May 14, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 35
Montpellier
1-1
Lorient
Maouassa (90+4')
Faivre (68')
> Preview
Dec 29, 2022 4pm
Gameweek 16
Lorient
0-2
Montpellier
Savanier (3'), Wahi (22')
> Preview
Feb 20, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 25
Lorient
0-1
Montpellier

Laporte (31'), Innocent (47')
Savanier (56')
Oyongo (60'), Souquet (61')
> Preview
Aug 22, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 3
Montpellier
3-1
Lorient
Savanier (50'), Mavididi (58'), Delort (83')
Bertaud (21' og.)
Lemoine (49'), Monconduit (67'), Mendes (84'), Hergault (87')
Mendes (86'), Hergault (90+1')
> Preview
Mar 3, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 28
Montpellier
1-1
Lorient
Mavididi (28')
Ferri (61'), Mendes (70')
Grbic (9' pen.)
Lemoine (36'), Chalobah (63'), Gravillon (87')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG1192033102329
2MonacoMonaco117221881023
3Marseille116232415920
4Lille115421811719
5Lyon115331815318
6Nice1145221111017
7Reims115241915417
8Lens11452129317
9Auxerre115152019116
10Toulouse114341311215
11StrasbourgStrasbourg113442022-213
12Brest114161419-513
13Rennes113261318-511
14NantesNantes112451417-310
15Angers112451320-710
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne113171025-1510
17Le HavreLe Havre11308823-159
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier112181131-207
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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