Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 49.34%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 28.06% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.44%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 1-2 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lyon | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
49.34% ( -0.01) | 22.59% ( -0) | 28.06% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 62.75% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.43% ( 0.01) | 37.57% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.2% ( 0.01) | 59.8% ( -0.01) |
Lyon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.47% ( 0) | 15.53% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.54% ( 0) | 44.46% ( -0) |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.29% ( 0.01) | 25.71% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.36% ( 0.02) | 60.64% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Lyon | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
2-1 @ 9.41% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.44% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.93% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.84% 3-0 @ 4.3% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.97% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.72% 4-0 @ 2% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.85% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.01% Other @ 3.89% Total : 49.34% | 1-1 @ 10.1% 2-2 @ 6.39% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.99% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.8% ( 0) Other @ 0.32% Total : 22.59% | 1-2 @ 6.86% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.43% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.68% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.11% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.89% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.67% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.05% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 2.4% Total : 28.06% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 44 | 14 | 30 | 40 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
7 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Rennes | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 17 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 38 | -23 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |