Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 51.68%. A win for Reims had a probability of 25.4% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.69%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Reims win was 1-2 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
Result | ||
Lyon | Draw | Reims |
51.68% (![]() | 22.91% | 25.4% (![]() |
Both teams to score 59.1% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.71% | 41.29% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.31% | 63.68% (![]() |
Lyon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.93% (![]() | 16.07% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.55% (![]() | 45.45% (![]() |
Reims Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.41% (![]() | 29.58% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.38% (![]() | 65.62% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Lyon | Draw | Reims |
2-1 @ 9.68% 1-0 @ 8.69% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.95% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.9% 3-0 @ 4.84% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.59% 4-1 @ 2.7% 4-0 @ 2.21% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.64% 5-1 @ 0.99% Other @ 3.5% Total : 51.68% | 1-1 @ 10.58% 2-2 @ 5.89% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.75% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.91% | 1-2 @ 6.45% (![]() 0-1 @ 5.79% 0-2 @ 3.53% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.62% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.39% 0-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 3.2% Total : 25.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |