Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 51.68%. A win for Reims had a probability of 25.4% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.69%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Reims win was 1-2 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
Result | ||
Lyon | Draw | Reims |
51.68% ( -0.01) | 22.91% | 25.4% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 59.1% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.71% | 41.29% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.31% | 63.68% ( -0) |
Lyon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.93% ( -0) | 16.07% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.55% ( -0) | 45.45% ( 0) |
Reims Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.41% ( 0) | 29.58% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.38% ( 0) | 65.62% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Lyon | Draw | Reims |
2-1 @ 9.68% 1-0 @ 8.69% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.95% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.9% 3-0 @ 4.84% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.59% 4-1 @ 2.7% 4-0 @ 2.21% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.64% 5-1 @ 0.99% Other @ 3.5% Total : 51.68% | 1-1 @ 10.58% 2-2 @ 5.89% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.75% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.91% | 1-2 @ 6.45% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.79% 0-2 @ 3.53% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.62% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.39% 0-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 3.2% Total : 25.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 20 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 54 | 19 | 35 | 50 |
2 | Marseille | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 40 | 23 | 17 | 37 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 36 | 24 | 12 | 37 |
4 | Lille | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 33 | 20 | 13 | 35 |
5 | Nice | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 38 | 25 | 13 | 33 |
6 | Lens | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 33 |
7 | Lyon | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 30 |
8 | Brest | 20 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 31 | 36 | -5 | 28 |
9 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 27 |
10 | Toulouse | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 25 |
11 | Auxerre | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 27 | 33 | -6 | 23 |
12 | Reims | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 22 |
13 | Angers | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 22 |
14 | NantesNantes | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 18 |
15 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 19 | 43 | -24 | 18 |
16 | Rennes | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 17 |
17 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 20 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 20 | 46 | -26 | 15 |
18 | Le HavreLe Havre | 19 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 14 | 38 | -24 | 13 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |