Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Le Havre win with a probability of 39.41%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 34.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Le Havre win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (6.57%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 (8.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Le Havre |
34.85% ( -0.41) | 25.73% ( 0.06) | 39.41% ( 0.35) |
Both teams to score 54.97% ( -0.29) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.85% ( -0.34) | 49.14% ( 0.34) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.78% ( -0.31) | 71.21% ( 0.31) |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.88% ( -0.41) | 27.12% ( 0.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.49% ( -0.54) | 62.51% ( 0.53) |
Le Havre Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.43% ( 0.03) | 24.56% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.95% ( 0.04) | 59.05% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Le Havre |
1-0 @ 8.69% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.96% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 5.67% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 3.46% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 2.47% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.43% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.13% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.04% Total : 34.85% | 1-1 @ 12.2% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.66% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.59% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.73% | 0-1 @ 9.35% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 8.57% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 6.57% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 4.01% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 3.07% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.62% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.41% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.83% Total : 39.41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 44 | 14 | 30 | 40 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
7 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Rennes | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 17 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 38 | -23 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |