With Le Havre sure to be feeling the effects of Wednesday's encounter with Caen, PSG's new recruits ought to lay down a marker at their training base and give the Ligue 2 champions a taste of what is to come. A new-look Parisiens will inevitably take some time to adapt to Enrique's methods, but there should only be one victor in Friday's battle of the champions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 59.99%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Le Havre had a probability of 19.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.74%) and 1-0 (8.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.32%), while for a Le Havre win it was 1-2 (5.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Paris Saint-Germain	Draw	Le Havre
59.99% ( -0.31)	20.49% ( 0.03)	19.52% ( 0.29)

Both teams to score 59.44% (

0.41)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.87% (

0.31)

37.13% (

-0.31)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.67% (

0.33)

59.33% (

-0.33)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.93% (

0.01)

12.07% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.41% (

0.02)

37.59% (

-0.01)

Le Havre Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.6% (

0.47)

32.4% (

-0.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.08% (

0.52)

68.91% (

-0.52)

Score Analysis

Paris Saint-Germain 59.99%

Le Havre 19.52%

Draw 20.49%

Paris Saint-Germain	Draw	Le Havre
2-1 @ 9.85% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.74% ( -0.13) 1-0 @ 8.27% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 6.95% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.16% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 3.91% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 3.67% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.26% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 2.07% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.55% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.38% ( -0.02) Other @ 4.18% Total : 59.99%	1-1 @ 9.32% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.55% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 3.91% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.24% Total : 20.49%	1-2 @ 5.25% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 4.41% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.48% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.09% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.39% Total : 19.52%