Ligue 1 | Gameweek 4
Sep 3, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stade Oceane
We said: Le Havre 1-2 Lorient
Le Havre will be hoping to record their first win of the season, but we think that they will be edged out by a confident Lorient side who would have been buoyed by last weekend's 4-1 win over Lille.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Le Havre win with a probability of 48.41% . A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 24.93% .
The most likely scoreline for a Le Havre win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.13% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.48%) and 2-1 (9.04%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.52%) , while for a Lorient win it was 0-1 (8.68%) . The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood . Our data analysis correctly predicted that Le Havre would win this match.
Result Le Havre Draw Lorient 48.41% ( -1.4) 26.66% ( 0.04) 24.93% ( 1.36)
Both teams to score 46.94% ( 1.16)
42.94% ( 0.84) 57.06% ( -0.84)
22.05% ( 0.67) 77.95% ( -0.67)
76.37% ( -0.28) 23.63% ( 0.28)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 42.28% ( -0.4) 57.72% ( 0.4)
61.47% ( 1.73) 38.53% ( -1.73)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 24.72% ( 1.61) 75.28% ( -1.62)
Le Havre 48.41%
Lorient 24.93%
Draw 26.65%
Le Havre Draw Lorient 1-0 @ 13.13% ( -0.54) 2-0 @ 9.48% ( -0.47) 2-1 @ 9.04% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.56% ( -0.27) 3-1 @ 4.35% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.07% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 1.64% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 1.57% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.58% Total : 48.41% 1-1 @ 12.52% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 9.1% ( -0.3) 2-2 @ 4.31% ( 0.19) Other @ 0.72% Total : 26.65% 0-1 @ 8.68% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 5.97% ( 0.31) 0-2 @ 4.14% ( 0.25) 1-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.18) 2-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.14) Other @ 1.55% Total : 24.93%
How you voted: Le Havre vs Lorient
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rhs 2.0
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