Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reims win with a probability of 52.17%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 24.54% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reims win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Lorient win was 1-2 (6.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Reims would win this match.
Result | ||
Reims | Draw | Lorient |
52.17% ( 0.31) | 23.29% ( 0.34) | 24.54% ( -0.65) |
Both teams to score 56.87% ( -1.86) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.18% ( -2.15) | 43.82% ( 2.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.79% ( -2.13) | 66.21% ( 2.13) |
Reims Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.18% ( -0.67) | 16.81% ( 0.67) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.2% ( -1.21) | 46.79% ( 1.21) |
Lorient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.36% ( -1.68) | 31.63% ( 1.67) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.95% ( -1.97) | 68.04% ( 1.97) |
Score Analysis |
Reims | Draw | Lorient |
2-1 @ 9.73% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 9.48% ( 0.66) 2-0 @ 8.45% ( 0.41) 3-1 @ 5.78% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 5.03% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 3.33% ( -0.22) 4-1 @ 2.58% ( -0.11) 4-0 @ 2.24% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.14) 5-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.15% Total : 52.17% | 1-1 @ 10.91% ( 0.28) 2-2 @ 5.6% ( -0.24) 0-0 @ 5.32% ( 0.48) 3-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.28% | 1-2 @ 6.28% ( -0.13) 0-1 @ 6.12% ( 0.29) 0-2 @ 3.52% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.16) 2-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.2) 0-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.7% Total : 24.54% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 33 | 10 | 23 | 29 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 23 |
3 | Marseille | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 15 | 9 | 20 |
4 | Lille | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 19 |
5 | Lyon | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Nice | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 17 |
7 | Reims | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 17 |
8 | Lens | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 17 |
9 | Auxerre | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 16 |
10 | Toulouse | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 15 |
11 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 13 |
12 | Brest | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 13 |
13 | Rennes | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 11 |
14 | NantesNantes | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 10 |
15 | Angers | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 10 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 25 | -15 | 10 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 9 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 31 | -20 | 7 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |