Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 37.45%. A win for Reims had a probability of 35.79% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Reims win was 0-1 (9.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lorient in this match.