Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reims win with a probability of 37.71%. A win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 34.61% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reims win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.03%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Saint-Etienne win was 0-1 (10.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Reims would win this match.
Result | ||
Reims | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
37.71% | 27.69% | 34.61% |
Both teams to score 48.68% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.87% | 57.13% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22% | 78% |
Reims Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.74% | 29.26% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.78% | 65.22% |
Saint-Etienne Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.81% | 31.19% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.47% | 67.53% |
Score Analysis |
Reims | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
1-0 @ 11.21% 2-1 @ 8.03% 2-0 @ 6.89% 3-1 @ 3.29% 3-0 @ 2.82% 3-2 @ 1.92% 4-1 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.53% Total : 37.7% | 1-1 @ 13.06% 0-0 @ 9.13% 2-2 @ 4.68% Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.68% | 0-1 @ 10.63% 1-2 @ 7.61% 0-2 @ 6.19% 1-3 @ 2.96% 0-3 @ 2.41% 2-3 @ 1.82% Other @ 2.99% Total : 34.6% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 44 | 14 | 30 | 40 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
7 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Rennes | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 17 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 38 | -23 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |