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Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Nice
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 9
Oct 21, 2023 at 8pm UK
Allianz Riviera
Marseille

Nice
1 - 0
Marseille

Guessand (79')
Dante (16'), Boga (24'), Boudaoui (56'), Moffi (79')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Balerdi (75'), Murillo (90+6')
Balerdi (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Nice and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Metz 0-1 Nice
Saturday, October 7 at 4pm in Ligue 1

We said: Nice 1-1 Marseille

Nice have been excellent so far and are proving to be a frustrating side to come up against, but their previous two performances were not wholly convincing, and they must find another gear against better opposition here. Marseille simply do not win away, and that is unlikely to change against one of the league's most in-form sides, but they may well have enough to claim a result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 41.18%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 32.68% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Marseille win was 0-1 (8.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nice in this match.

Result
NiceDrawMarseille
41.18% (1.083 1.08) 26.14% (-0.253 -0.25) 32.68% (-0.83300000000001 -0.83)
Both teams to score 53.12% (0.581 0.58)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.69% (0.85 0.85)51.31% (-0.85299999999999 -0.85)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.86% (0.739 0.74)73.14% (-0.73999999999999 -0.74)
Nice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.38% (0.95 0.95)24.62% (-0.952 -0.95)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.87% (1.314 1.31)59.12% (-1.316 -1.32)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.46% (-0.12 -0.12)29.54% (0.118 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.44% (-0.145 -0.14)65.56% (0.14399999999999 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Nice 41.18%
    Marseille 32.68%
    Draw 26.14%
NiceDrawMarseille
1-0 @ 10.19% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 8.71% (0.153 0.15)
2-0 @ 7.14% (0.147 0.15)
3-1 @ 4.07% (0.18 0.18)
3-0 @ 3.34% (0.158 0.16)
3-2 @ 2.48% (0.102 0.1)
4-1 @ 1.43% (0.099 0.1)
4-0 @ 1.17% (0.086 0.09)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 41.18%
1-1 @ 12.43% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-0 @ 7.27% (-0.251 -0.25)
2-2 @ 5.31% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.14%
0-1 @ 8.87% (-0.337 -0.34)
1-2 @ 7.58% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-2 @ 5.41% (-0.223 -0.22)
1-3 @ 3.08% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-3 @ 2.2% (-0.098 -0.1)
2-3 @ 2.16% (0.024 0.02)
1-4 @ 0.94% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 32.68%

How you voted: Nice vs Marseille

Nice
53.7%
Draw
27.8%
Marseille
18.5%
54
Head to Head
Feb 5, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 22
Marseille
1-3
Nice
Diop (38'), Laborde (44'), Brahimi (85')
Aug 28, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 4
Nice
0-3
Marseille

Beka Beka (57')
Sanchez (10', 42'), Tavares (37')
Tavares (71')
Mar 20, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Marseille
2-1
Nice
Milik (45+3' pen.), Bakambu (89')
Caleta-Car (60'), Saliba (90+1')
Lemina (90+1')
Bard (45'), Lemina (90+2')
Feb 9, 2022 8.15pm
Quarter-Finals
Nice
4-1
Marseille
Gouiri (10'), Kluivert (29', 49'), Delort (61')
Kluivert (32'), Daniliuc (90')
Bard (3' og.)
Sampaoli (34'), Balerdi (40')
Oct 27, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 3
Nice
1-1
Marseille
Gouiri (6')
Guessand (31'), Todibo (90+2')
Payet (42')
Lopez (90+1'), Kamara (90+3')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG12102036102632
2MonacoMonaco1282221101126
3Marseille1272327161123
4Lille115421811719
5Lyon125431916319
6Reims125342016418
7Nice1145221111017
8Lens124531312117
9Auxerre115152019116
10Toulouse124351314-115
11StrasbourgStrasbourg113442022-213
12Brest124171622-613
13Saint-EtienneSt Etienne124171125-1413
14Rennes113261318-511
15NantesNantes112451417-310
16Angers112451320-710
17Le HavreLe Havre11308823-159
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier122191132-217


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