Ligue 1 | Gameweek 3
Aug 26, 2023 at 6pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Marseille2 - 0Brest
We said: Marseille 2-2 Brest
Marseille and Brest have played four Ligue 1 matches between them this season, and those clashes have produced a combined total of 15 goals. For that reason, we expect Saturday's showdown to be a high-scoring affair, with both sides remaining unbeaten as they share the spoils at the Stade Velodrome. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 59.31%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Brest had a probability of 18.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.62%), while for a Brest win it was 0-1 (5.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Marseille | Draw | Brest |
59.31% ( 0.01) | 22.34% ( -0) | 18.36% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 51.02% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
