MX23RW : Sunday, February 16 12:29:18| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Brest logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 1
Aug 13, 2023 at 12pm UK
Stade Francis-Le Ble
Lens logo

Brest
3 - 2
Lens

Del Castillo (45+2' pen., 87' pen.), Lala (56')
Lees-Melou (35'), Brassier (45+4')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Sotoca (10'), Machado (22')
Sotoca (48'), Medina (52'), Samba (85')
Thomasson (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Brest and Lens, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brest 1-2 Rennes
Saturday, June 3 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Man Utd 3-1 Lens
Saturday, August 5 at 12.45pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Brest 0-1 Lens

Given what Lens achieved last term, we expect the Blood and Gold to claim all three points on the opening weekend, although Brest will likely give last season's runners-up a run for their money after finishing the previous campaign on a high. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 44.74%. A win for Brest had a probability of 29.19% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (8.03%). The likeliest Brest win was 1-0 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
BrestDrawLens
29.19% (0.963 0.96) 26.06% (0.47 0.47) 44.74% (-1.433 -1.43)
Both teams to score 51.79% (-0.85700000000001 -0.86)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.69% (-1.401 -1.4)52.31% (1.402 1.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26% (-1.217 -1.22)74% (1.218 1.22)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.52% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)32.48% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.99% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)69% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.71% (-1.261 -1.26)23.29% (1.261 1.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.77% (-1.873 -1.87)57.23% (1.873 1.87)
Score Analysis
    Brest 29.19%
    Lens 44.74%
    Draw 26.06%
BrestDrawLens
1-0 @ 8.51% (0.461 0.46)
2-1 @ 6.97% (0.124 0.12)
2-0 @ 4.78% (0.259 0.26)
3-1 @ 2.61% (0.046 0.05)
3-2 @ 1.9% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-0 @ 1.79% (0.096 0.1)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 29.19%
1-1 @ 12.39% (0.22 0.22)
0-0 @ 7.57% (0.412 0.41)
2-2 @ 5.08% (-0.1 -0.1)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.055 -0.05)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.06%
0-1 @ 11.02% (0.2 0.2)
1-2 @ 9.03% (-0.177 -0.18)
0-2 @ 8.03% (-0.155 -0.16)
1-3 @ 4.39% (-0.256 -0.26)
0-3 @ 3.9% (-0.227 -0.23)
2-3 @ 2.47% (-0.145 -0.15)
1-4 @ 1.6% (-0.159 -0.16)
0-4 @ 1.42% (-0.141 -0.14)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 44.74%

How you voted: Brest vs Lens

Brest
8.7%
Draw
8.7%
Lens
82.6%
23
Head to Head
Feb 5, 2023 4.05pm
Gameweek 22
Brest
1-1
Lens
Gradit (83')
Jan 22, 2023 8pm
Round of 32
Brest
1-3
Lens
Slimani (19')
Said (5'), Medina (30'), Thomasson (37')
Aug 7, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 1
Lens
3-2
Brest
Sotoca (27', 62', 65')
Costa (38'), Danso (78')
Belkebla (66'), Del Castillo (82' pen.)
Lees-Melou (31'), Belaili (43'), Brassier (62'), Chardonnet (71')
Mar 5, 2022 4pm
Gameweek 27
Lens
0-1
Brest

Medina (67')
Honorat (59')
Belkebla (54')
Nov 21, 2021 12pm
Gameweek 14
Brest
4-0
Lens
Mounie (3'), Chardonnet (13'), Faivre (33'), Le Douaron (69')
Duverne (58')

Medina (36'), Doucoure (76')
Kalimuendo (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG22175059203956
2Marseille22144450262446
3MonacoMonaco22124644291540
4Nice21107441261537
5Lille2198434221235
6Lyon2196636261033
7Lens219662520533
8Brest22102103538-332
9StrasbourgStrasbourg218673532330
10Toulouse227692325-227
11Auxerre226793137-625
12Rennes2172122930-123
13Angers2165102231-923
14Reims215792633-722
15NantesNantes224992539-1421
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne2253142050-3018
17Le HavreLe Havre2152141740-2317
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier2143142048-2815


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