Ligue 1 | Gameweek 8
Oct 8, 2023 at 12pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Marseille3 - 0Le Havre
We said: Marseille 2-1 Le Havre
Marseille could be third-time lucky under Gattuso this weekend, with their wont for scoring under the Italian expected to get them over the line against Le Havre. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 58.63%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Le Havre had a probability of 19.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 2-0 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.24%), while for a Le Havre win it was 0-1 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Marseille | Draw | Le Havre |
58.63% ( -0.68) | 21.78% ( 0.32) | 19.59% ( 0.37) |
| Both teams to score 55.04% ( -0.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
