![Marseille Marseille](https://sm.imgix.net/19/06/marlog.png?w=60&h=60&auto=compress,format&fit=clip)
Europa League | Group Stage
Oct 5, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Stade Velodrome
![Brighton logo Brighton logo](https://sm.imgix.net/19/06/brilog.png?w=60&h=60&auto=compress,format&fit=clip)
Marseille2 - 2Brighton
The Match
Match Report
Brighton & Hove Albion fight back from two goals down to draw 2-2 with Marseille in their first-ever European away game.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Marseille and Brighton & Hove Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Monaco 3-2 Marseille
Saturday, September 30 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Saturday, September 30 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Aston Villa 6-1 Brighton
Saturday, September 30 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Saturday, September 30 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 38.79%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 37.63% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.74%) and 2-0 (5.38%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Marseille | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
38.79% (![]() | 23.58% (![]() | 37.63% (![]() |
Both teams to score 63.1% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.25% (![]() | 38.75% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.94% (![]() | 61.06% (![]() |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.71% (![]() | 20.28% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.36% (![]() | 52.64% (![]() |
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.16% (![]() | 20.84% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.47% (![]() | 53.52% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Marseille 38.79%
Brighton & Hove Albion 37.63%
Draw 23.57%
Marseille | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
2-1 @ 8.44% (![]() 1-0 @ 6.74% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.38% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.49% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.52% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.86% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.79% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.4% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.14% ( ![]() Other @ 3.04% Total : 38.79% | 1-1 @ 10.57% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.62% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.23% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.84% ( ![]() Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.57% | 1-2 @ 8.29% (![]() 0-1 @ 6.63% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.2% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.34% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.46% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.72% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.7% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.36% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.07% ( ![]() Other @ 2.88% Total : 37.63% |
How you voted: Marseille vs Brighton
Marseille
25.7%Draw
28.4%Brighton & Hove Albion
45.9%148
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-24 21:20:49
Tuesday, June 25
5pm
Group Stage
France
vs.
Poland
5pm
Group Stage
Netherlands
vs.
Austria
8pm
Group Stage
Denmark
vs.
Serbia
8pm
Group Stage
England
vs.
Slovenia
Wednesday, June 26
5pm
Group Stage
Slovakia
vs.
Romania
5pm
Group Stage
Ukraine
vs.
Belgium
8pm
Group Stage
Czech Republic
vs.
Turkey
8pm
Group Stage
Georgia
vs.
Portugal
Saturday, June 29
5pm
Round of 16
Switzerland
vs.
2nd Group B
8pm
Round of 16
Germany
vs.
2nd Group C
Sunday, June 30
5pm
Round of 16
1st Group C
vs.
3rd Group D/E/F
8pm
Round of 16
Spain
vs.
3rd Group A/D/E/F
Monday, July 1
5pm
Round of 16
2nd Group D
vs.
2nd Group E
8pm
Round of 16
Portugal
vs.
3rd Group A/B/C
Tuesday, July 2
5pm
Round of 16
1st Group E
vs.
3rd Group A/B/C/D
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group D
vs.
2nd Group F
Friday, July 5
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 39
vs.
Winner Match 37
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 41
vs.
Winner Match 42
Saturday, July 6
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 40
vs.
Winner Match 38
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 43
vs.
Winner Match 44
Tuesday, July 9
8pm
Wednesday, July 10
8pm
Sunday, July 14
8pm
![Tables header RHS Tables header RHS](https://sm.imgix.net/23/25/tables-header-rhs.jpg?w=300&h=46)
Group A
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Group D
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
1 | ![]() | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
2 | ![]() | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
3 | ![]() | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
1
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2
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3
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4
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5
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6
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7
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Chelsea move closer to £5m striker transfer as clause 'triggered'
8
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9
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Czech Republic vs. Turkey - prediction, team news, lineups
10
![Salah holds the cards as Liverpool transfer activity 'hinges' on contract talks Salah holds the cards as Liverpool transfer activity 'hinges' on contract talks](https://sm.imgix.net/11/29/1x1.gif?w=1&h=1)
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