MX23RW : Thursday, October 31 17:08:25| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Premier League | Gameweek 4
Sep 2, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
The American Express Community Stadium
Newcastle logo

Brighton
3 - 1
Newcastle

Ferguson (27', 65', 70')
Lamptey (83'), Milner (86'), Dahoud (90+5'), Lallana (90+8')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Wilson (90+2')
Gordon (23'), Schar (43'), Targett (68'), Burn (76')

The Match

Match Report

Evan Ferguson scores the Premier League's third hat-trick of the day as Brighton & Hove Albion tear Newcastle United apart in an emphatic 3-1 victory at the Amex Stadium.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Brighton & Hove Albion and Newcastle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 44.78%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 31.75% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.54%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 1-2 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.

Result
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawNewcastle United
44.78% (-0.044999999999995 -0.04) 23.46% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01) 31.75% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
Both teams to score 61.96% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.39% (0.052 0.05)39.61% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.04% (0.055 0.05)61.96% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.96% (0.0039999999999907 0)18.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.07% (0.0039999999999978 0)48.92% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.59% (0.057000000000002 0.06)24.4% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.18% (0.080999999999996 0.08)58.82% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Brighton & Hove Albion 44.78%
    Newcastle United 31.75%
    Draw 23.46%
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawNewcastle United
2-1 @ 9.11% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.54% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.46% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.2% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 3.69% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.67% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 2.23% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 1.58% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.57% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 44.78%
1-1 @ 10.63%
2-2 @ 6.42% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.4% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.72% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.46%
1-2 @ 7.5% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-1 @ 6.21% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 4.38% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 3.53% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.02% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.06% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 1.24% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.07% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 31.75%

How you voted: Brighton vs Newcastle

Brighton & Hove Albion
28.9%
Draw
32.4%
Newcastle United
38.7%
225
Head to Head
Jul 29, 2023 12.30am
Club Friendlies
Brighton
1-2
Newcastle
Anderson (86', 90')
Guimaraes (30'), Pope (74')
May 18, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 25
Newcastle
4-1
Brighton
Undav (22' og.), Burn (45+4'), Wilson (89'), Guimaraes (90+1')
Guimaraes (30'), Schar (45+3')
Undav (51')
Undav (45+2'), Gross (57'), Mac Allister (64'), Paul van Hecke (80')
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 2
Brighton
0-0
Newcastle
Mac Allister (34'), March (58')
Saint-Maximin (22'), Joelinton (58'), Schar (90+3')
Mar 5, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 28
Newcastle
2-1
Brighton
Fraser (12'), Schar (14')
Joelinton (87')
Dunk (55')
Duffy (63')
Nov 6, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 11
Brighton
1-1
Newcastle
Trossard (24' pen.)
Lallana (75'), Bissouma (84'), Maupay (84')
Sanchez (90+2')
Hayden (66')
Lascelles (12'), Murphy (60'), Shelvey (69'), Wilson (73')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City97202091123
2Liverpool97111751222
3Arsenal95311710718
4Aston Villa95311611518
5Chelsea95221911817
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton94411612416
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest9441117416
8Tottenham HotspurSpurs94141810813
9Brentford94141818013
10Fulham93331212012
11Bournemouth93331111012
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle9333910-112
13West Ham UnitedWest Ham93241316-311
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd9324811-311
15Leicester CityLeicester92341317-49
16Everton92341016-69
17Crystal Palace9135611-56
18Ipswich TownIpswich9045920-114
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves90271225-132
20Southampton9018619-131


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