Premier League | Gameweek 4
Sep 2, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
The American Express Community Stadium
Brighton3 - 1Newcastle
The Match
Match Report
Evan Ferguson scores the Premier League's third hat-trick of the day as Brighton & Hove Albion tear Newcastle United apart in an emphatic 3-1 victory at the Amex Stadium.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Brighton & Hove Albion and Newcastle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Brighton 1-3 West Ham
Saturday, August 26 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Saturday, August 26 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Newcastle 1-2 Liverpool
Sunday, August 27 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Sunday, August 27 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 44.78%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 31.75% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.54%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 1-2 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Draw | Newcastle United |
44.78% ( -0.04) | 23.46% ( -0.01) | 31.75% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 61.96% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
