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Premier League | Gameweek 37
May 21, 2023 at 2pm UK
Falmer Stadium
Southampton logo

Brighton
3 - 1
Southampton

Ferguson (29', 40'), Gross (69')
Veltman (71'), Buonanotte (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Elyounoussi (58')
Bednarek (14'), Alcaraz (34'), Elyounoussi (43'), Ward-Prowse (64'), Bree (67')

The Match

Match Report

Brighton & Hove Albion qualify for Europe next season courtesy of a 3-1 Premier League win over Southampton.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Brighton & Hove Albion and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newcastle 4-1 Brighton
Thursday, May 18 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Southampton 0-2 Fulham
Saturday, May 13 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 71.85%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 10.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.05%) and 3-0 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.29%), while for a Southampton win it was 0-1 (3.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Brighton & Hove Albion in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Brighton & Hove Albion.

Result
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawSouthampton
71.85% (-0.197 -0.2) 17.43% (0.168 0.17) 10.72% (0.028 0.03)
Both teams to score 47.32% (-0.497 -0.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.2% (-0.705 -0.7)41.79% (0.704 0.7)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.8% (-0.714 -0.71)64.2% (0.71299999999999 0.71)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.71% (-0.236 -0.24)10.29% (0.234 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.3% (-0.539 -0.54)33.69% (0.538 0.54)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.75% (-0.413 -0.41)47.25% (0.412 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.32% (-0.314 -0.31)82.68% (0.312 0.31)
Score Analysis
    Brighton & Hove Albion 71.84%
    Southampton 10.72%
    Draw 17.43%
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawSouthampton
2-0 @ 12.57% (0.15 0.15)
1-0 @ 11.05% (0.24 0.24)
3-0 @ 9.53% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.43%
3-1 @ 7.14% (-0.072 -0.07)
4-0 @ 5.42% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-1 @ 4.06% (-0.082 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.68% (-0.059 -0.06)
5-0 @ 2.46% (-0.047 -0.05)
5-1 @ 1.85% (-0.056 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.52% (-0.049 -0.05)
6-0 @ 0.93% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 71.84%
1-1 @ 8.29% (0.084 0.08)
0-0 @ 4.86% (0.152 0.15)
2-2 @ 3.53% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 17.43%
0-1 @ 3.65% (0.073 0.07)
1-2 @ 3.11% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 1.37% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 10.72%

How you voted: Brighton vs Southampton

Brighton & Hove Albion
85.9%
Draw
9.9%
Southampton
4.2%
71
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
gameweek 17
Southampton
1-3
Brighton
Ward-Prowse (73')
Aribo (60')
Lallana (14'), Perraud (35' og.), March (56')
Apr 24, 2022 2pm
gameweek 34
Brighton
2-2
Southampton
Welbeck (2'), Salisu (44' og.)
Cucurella (45+3')
Ward-Prowse (45+4', 54')
Dec 4, 2021 3pm
gameweek 15
Southampton
1-1
Brighton
Broja (29')
Tella (69'), Salisu (80'), Elyounoussi (90+4'), Romeu (90+7')
Maupay (90+8')
Duffy (45'), Bissouma (74')
Mar 14, 2021 12pm
gameweek 28
Southampton
1-2
Brighton
Adams (27')
Dunk (16'), Trossard (56')
Dec 7, 2020 8pm
gameweek 11
Brighton
1-2
Southampton
Gross (26' pen.)
Dunk (56'), Gross (80'), Bissouma (89')
Vestergaard (45'), Ings (81' pen.)
Djenepo (13'), Romeu (47'), McCarthy (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


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