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Premier League | Gameweek 37
May 21, 2023 at 2pm UK
Falmer Stadium
Southampton logo

Brighton
3 - 1
Southampton

Ferguson (29', 40'), Gross (69')
Veltman (71'), Buonanotte (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Elyounoussi (58')
Bednarek (14'), Alcaraz (34'), Elyounoussi (43'), Ward-Prowse (64'), Bree (67')

The Match

Match Report

Brighton & Hove Albion qualify for Europe next season courtesy of a 3-1 Premier League win over Southampton.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Brighton & Hove Albion and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newcastle 4-1 Brighton
Thursday, May 18 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Southampton 0-2 Fulham
Saturday, May 13 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 71.85%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 10.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.05%) and 3-0 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.29%), while for a Southampton win it was 0-1 (3.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Brighton & Hove Albion in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Brighton & Hove Albion.

Result
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawSouthampton
71.85% (-0.197 -0.2) 17.43% (0.168 0.17) 10.72% (0.028 0.03)
Both teams to score 47.32% (-0.497 -0.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.2% (-0.705 -0.7)41.79% (0.704 0.7)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.8% (-0.714 -0.71)64.2% (0.71299999999999 0.71)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.71% (-0.236 -0.24)10.29% (0.234 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.3% (-0.539 -0.54)33.69% (0.538 0.54)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.75% (-0.413 -0.41)47.25% (0.412 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.32% (-0.314 -0.31)82.68% (0.312 0.31)
Score Analysis
    Brighton & Hove Albion 71.84%
    Southampton 10.72%
    Draw 17.43%
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawSouthampton
2-0 @ 12.57% (0.15 0.15)
1-0 @ 11.05% (0.24 0.24)
3-0 @ 9.53% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.43%
3-1 @ 7.14% (-0.072 -0.07)
4-0 @ 5.42% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-1 @ 4.06% (-0.082 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.68% (-0.059 -0.06)
5-0 @ 2.46% (-0.047 -0.05)
5-1 @ 1.85% (-0.056 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.52% (-0.049 -0.05)
6-0 @ 0.93% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 71.84%
1-1 @ 8.29% (0.084 0.08)
0-0 @ 4.86% (0.152 0.15)
2-2 @ 3.53% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 17.43%
0-1 @ 3.65% (0.073 0.07)
1-2 @ 3.11% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 1.37% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 10.72%

How you voted: Brighton vs Southampton

Brighton & Hove Albion
85.9%
Draw
9.9%
Southampton
4.2%
71
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
gameweek 17
Southampton
1-3
Brighton
Ward-Prowse (73')
Aribo (60')
Lallana (14'), Perraud (35' og.), March (56')
Apr 24, 2022 2pm
gameweek 34
Brighton
2-2
Southampton
Welbeck (2'), Salisu (44' og.)
Cucurella (45+3')
Ward-Prowse (45+4', 54')
Dec 4, 2021 3pm
gameweek 15
Southampton
1-1
Brighton
Broja (29')
Tella (69'), Salisu (80'), Elyounoussi (90+4'), Romeu (90+7')
Maupay (90+8')
Duffy (45'), Bissouma (74')
Mar 14, 2021 12pm
gameweek 28
Southampton
1-2
Brighton
Adams (27')
Dunk (16'), Trossard (56')
Dec 7, 2020 8pm
gameweek 11
Brighton
1-2
Southampton
Gross (26' pen.)
Dunk (56'), Gross (80'), Bissouma (89')
Vestergaard (45'), Ings (81' pen.)
Djenepo (13'), Romeu (47'), McCarthy (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool21155150203050
2Arsenal22128243212244
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest22135433221144
4Chelsea22117444271740
5Manchester CityMan City22115644291538
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle22115638261238
7Bournemouth22107536261037
8Aston Villa2210663334-136
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2281043530534
10Fulham228953430433
11Brentford2284104039128
12Crystal Palace226972528-327
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd2275102732-526
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2275102743-1626
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs22731245351024
16Everton214891828-1020
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2244143251-1916
18Ipswich TownIpswich2237122043-2316
19Leicester CityLeicester2235142348-2514
20Southampton2213181550-356


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