Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 39.11%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 34.72% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-0 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fulham would win this match.
Result | ||
Southampton | Draw | Fulham |
34.72% ( -0.02) | 26.16% ( 0) | 39.11% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 53.51% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.98% ( -0.02) | 51.02% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.12% ( -0.01) | 72.88% ( 0.01) |
Southampton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.89% ( -0.02) | 28.1% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.23% ( -0.02) | 63.77% ( 0.02) |
Fulham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.43% ( -0) | 25.57% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.56% ( -0) | 60.44% |
Score Analysis |
Southampton | Draw | Fulham |
1-0 @ 9.12% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.9% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.79% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.34% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.45% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.28% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.06% ( -0) Other @ 2.79% Total : 34.72% | 1-1 @ 12.43% 0-0 @ 7.19% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.38% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.15% | 0-1 @ 9.8% ( 0) 1-2 @ 8.48% 0-2 @ 6.68% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.86% 0-3 @ 3.04% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.45% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.31% 0-4 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 2.46% Total : 39.11% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 36 |
2 | Chelsea | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 34 |
3 | Arsenal | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 33 |
4 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 31 |
5 | Aston Villa | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 28 |
6 | Manchester CityMan City | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 27 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 26 |
8 | Bournemouth | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 21 | 3 | 25 |
9 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 25 |
10 | Fulham | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 24 |
11 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 23 |
12 | Brentford | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 23 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 20 |
15 | Crystal Palace | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 16 |
16 | Everton | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 15 |
17 | Leicester CityLeicester | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 14 |
18 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 12 |
19 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 9 |
20 | Southampton | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 36 | -25 | 5 |
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