Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 73.02%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 10.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.4%) and 3-0 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.93%), while for a Southampton win it was 0-1 (3.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.
Result | ||
Newcastle United | Draw | Southampton |
73.02% (![]() | 16.7% (![]() | 10.28% (![]() |
Both teams to score 48.27% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.33% (![]() | 39.67% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.97% (![]() | 62.02% (![]() |
Newcastle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.54% (![]() | 9.45% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.25% (![]() | 31.74% (![]() |
Southampton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.31% (![]() | 46.68% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.75% (![]() | 82.25% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Newcastle United | Draw | Southampton |
2-0 @ 12.27% (![]() 1-0 @ 10.4% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 9.65% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.35% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.35% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 5.69% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 4.34% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.8% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 2.69% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 2.05% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.65% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 1.06% ( ![]() Other @ 3.7% Total : 73% | 1-1 @ 7.93% (![]() 0-0 @ 4.41% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.56% ( ![]() Other @ 0.8% Total : 16.7% | 0-1 @ 3.36% (![]() 1-2 @ 3.02% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 1.28% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 0.9% ( ![]() Other @ 1.71% Total : 10.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
1 | ![]() | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
2 | ![]() | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
3 | ![]() | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
4 | ![]() | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
1 | ![]() | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
2 | ![]() | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
3 | ![]() | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
4 | ![]() | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |