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Premier League | Gameweek 33
Apr 27, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
St Mary's Stadium
Bournemouth logo

Southampton
0 - 1
Bournemouth

FT(HT: 0-0)
Tavernier (50')
Senesi (65'), Lerma (77'), Vina (86')

The Match

Match Report

Southampton's relegation fears deepen after suffering a 1-0 defeat at home to Bournemouth in the Premier League.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Premier League clash between Southampton and Bournemouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Arsenal 3-3 Southampton
Friday, April 21 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Bournemouth 0-4 West Ham
Sunday, April 23 at 2pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 40.97%. A win for Bournemouth had a probability of 32.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Bournemouth win was 0-1 (9.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Bournemouth would win this match.

Result
SouthamptonDrawBournemouth
40.97% (-0.759 -0.76) 26.82% (0.175 0.18) 32.21% (0.584 0.58)
Both teams to score 50.82% (-0.345 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.82% (-0.53 -0.53)54.18% (0.529 0.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.41% (-0.444 -0.44)75.59% (0.44499999999999 0.44)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.97% (-0.64099999999999 -0.64)26.03% (0.642 0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.94% (-0.87 -0.87)61.06% (0.869 0.87)
Bournemouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.7% (0.129 0.13)31.29% (-0.131 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.35% (0.149 0.15)67.65% (-0.15000000000001 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Southampton 40.97%
    Bournemouth 32.21%
    Draw 26.81%
SouthamptonDrawBournemouth
1-0 @ 10.96% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.57% (-0.107 -0.11)
2-0 @ 7.38% (-0.118 -0.12)
3-1 @ 3.85% (-0.119 -0.12)
3-0 @ 3.31% (-0.115 -0.12)
3-2 @ 2.23% (-0.062 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.3% (-0.064 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.11% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 40.97%
1-1 @ 12.73% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 8.14% (0.167 0.17)
2-2 @ 4.98% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.81%
0-1 @ 9.46% (0.227 0.23)
1-2 @ 7.4% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
0-2 @ 5.5% (0.152 0.15)
1-3 @ 2.87% (0.038 0.04)
0-3 @ 2.13% (0.066 0.07)
2-3 @ 1.93% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 32.21%

How you voted: Southampton vs Bournemouth

Southampton
45.7%
Draw
16.4%
Bournemouth
37.9%
140
Head to Head
Oct 19, 2022 7.30pm
Mar 20, 2021 12.15pm
Quarter-Finals
Bournemouth
0-3
Southampton

Wilshere (84'), Surridge (90+3')
Djenepo (37'), Redmond (45+1', 59')
Bednarek (30'), Vestergaard (74')
Jul 19, 2020 2pm
Sep 20, 2019 8pm
Apr 27, 2019 3pm
gameweek 36
Southampton
3-3
Bournemouth
Long (12'), Ward-Prowse (55'), Targett (67')
Romeu (26'), Long (35')
Gosling (20'), Wilson (32', 86')
Gosling (45')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool108111961325
2Manchester CityMan City1072121111023
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest10541147719
4Chelsea105322012818
5Arsenal105321711618
6Aston Villa105321715218
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1051422111116
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton104421714316
9Fulham104331413115
10Bournemouth104331312115
11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
12Brentford104151920-113
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd10334912-312
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133


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