Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 42.86%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 30.08% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest Southampton win was 0-1 (9.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nottingham Forest would win this match.
Result | ||
Nottingham Forest | Draw | Southampton |
42.86% ( -0.34) | 27.06% ( 0.14) | 30.08% ( 0.19) |
Both teams to score 49.25% ( -0.33) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.2% ( -0.47) | 55.8% ( 0.46) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.07% ( -0.38) | 76.92% ( 0.38) |
Nottingham Forest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.22% ( -0.39) | 25.77% ( 0.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.28% ( -0.52) | 60.72% ( 0.52) |
Southampton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.35% ( -0.1) | 33.64% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.7% ( -0.11) | 70.29% ( 0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Nottingham Forest | Draw | Southampton |
1-0 @ 11.75% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 8.68% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 7.97% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.92% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 3.6% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.14% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.33% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.22% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.24% Total : 42.85% | 1-1 @ 12.8% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 8.67% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 4.73% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.05% | 0-1 @ 9.45% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 6.98% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.15% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 2.53% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.39% Total : 30.08% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 36 |
2 | Chelsea | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 34 |
3 | Arsenal | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 33 |
4 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 31 |
5 | Aston Villa | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 28 |
6 | Manchester CityMan City | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 27 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 26 |
8 | Bournemouth | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 21 | 3 | 25 |
9 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 25 |
10 | Fulham | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 24 |
11 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 23 |
12 | Brentford | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 23 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 20 |
15 | Crystal Palace | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 16 |
16 | Everton | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 15 |
17 | Leicester CityLeicester | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 14 |
18 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 12 |
19 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 9 |
20 | Southampton | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 36 | -25 | 5 |
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