Liverpool

3 - 2

Nott'm Forest

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 76.48%. A draw had a probability of 14.6% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 8.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.95%) and 2-1 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.86%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 1-2 (2.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.