Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 19

Jan 4, 2023 at 7.30pm UK

St Mary's Stadium

Southampton
0 - 1
Nott'm Forest

Perraud (45'), Armstrong (89')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Awoniyi (27')
Freuler (42'), Johnson (45')

The Match

Match Report

Nottingham Forest win 1-0 away at Southampton to move up to 15th in the Premier League table, with Taiwo Awoniyi striking in the 26th minute.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Premier League clash between Southampton and Nottingham Forest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Southampton

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Fulham 2-1 Southampton
Saturday, December 31 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Nottingham Forest

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Nott'm Forest 1-1 Chelsea
Sunday, January 1 at 4.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 48.86%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 25.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.79%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 0-1 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
Southampton	Draw	Nottingham Forest
48.86% ( 0.33)	25.22% ( -0.1)	25.92% ( -0.23)

Both teams to score 52.02% (

0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.13% (

0.25)

50.87% (

-0.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.25% (

0.22)

72.75% (

-0.22)

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.16% (

0.24)

20.84% (

-0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.48% (

0.38)

53.52% (

-0.38)

Nottingham Forest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.72% (

-0.06)

34.28% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.02% (

-0.06)

70.98% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Southampton 48.85%

Nottingham Forest 25.92%

Draw 25.21%

Southampton	Draw	Nottingham Forest
1-0 @ 11.2% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.41% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.79% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.92% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 4.59% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.63% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.93% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.8% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.56% Total : 48.85%	1-1 @ 11.99% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 7.14% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.04% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.21%	0-1 @ 7.65% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 6.42% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 4.09% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.8% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.21% Total : 25.92%