Man Utd3 - 0Nott'm Forest
The Match
Match Report
Team News
Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Form, Standings, Stats
Wednesday, December 21 at 8pm in EFL Cup
Wednesday, December 21 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 73.79%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 9.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.06%) and 3-0 (10.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.89%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 0-1 (3.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.
Result | ||
Manchester United | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
73.79% ( 0.38) | 16.59% ( -0.22) | 9.62% ( -0.16) |
Both teams to score 46.07% ( 0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.81% ( 0.55) | 41.19% ( -0.55) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.41% ( 0.56) | 63.59% ( -0.56) |
Manchester United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.34% ( 0.24) | 9.66% ( -0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.77% ( 0.55) | 32.23% ( -0.55) |
Nottingham Forest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
50.99% ( 0.04) | 49.01% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.04% ( 0.03) | 83.96% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Manchester United | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
2-0 @ 12.92% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 11.06% ( -0.16) 3-0 @ 10.07% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.22% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 7.19% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 5.89% ( 0.1) 4-1 @ 4.2% ( 0.07) 5-0 @ 2.75% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.56% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.96% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.5% ( 0.03) 6-0 @ 1.07% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.38% Total : 73.77% | 1-1 @ 7.89% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 4.73% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 3.29% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.68% Total : 16.59% | 0-1 @ 3.38% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.23% Total : 9.62% |