Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 11

Oct 16, 2022 at 2pm UK

Old Trafford

Man Utd
0 - 0
Newcastle

Ronaldo (49'), Fernandes (65'), Casemiro (69')

Burn (43')

Erik ten Hag takes positives from Manchester United's draw with Newcastle United

Manchester United head coach Erik ten Hag takes the positives from Sunday's goalless draw with Newcastle United in the Premier League.

Oct 16, 18:26

Manchester United held to goalless draw by Newcastle United

Manchester United lose ground on the Premier League's top four as they are held to an entertaining 0-0 draw by Newcastle United at Old Trafford.

Oct 16, 15:57

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester United

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Man Utd 1-0 Omonia
Thursday, October 13 at 8pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Newcastle United

All competitions

Last Game: Newcastle 5-1 Brentford
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Manchester United 2-1 Newcastle United

This is a really, really tough game for Man United, with Newcastle impressing in the early stages of the 2022-23 campaign. The Magpies will arrive at Old Trafford full of confidence, while they will be the fresher of the two sides, but we are backing Man United to navigate their way to another victory this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 57.43%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 20.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 2-0 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 0-1 (5.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Manchester United	Draw	Newcastle United
57.43% ( -1.28)	22.4% ( 0.35)	20.17% ( 0.93)

Both teams to score 53.92% (

0.41)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.07% (

-0.21)

44.93% (

0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.72% (

-0.2)

67.28% (

0.2)

Manchester United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.61% (

-0.49)

15.39% (

0.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.81% (

-0.92)

44.18% (

0.92)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.73% (

0.85)

36.27% (

-0.85)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.94% (

0.85)

73.05% (

-0.85)

Score Analysis

Manchester United 57.43%

Newcastle United 20.17%

Draw 22.4%

Manchester United	Draw	Newcastle United
1-0 @ 10.44% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 9.91% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.78% ( -0.24) 3-1 @ 6.19% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 6.1% ( -0.26) 3-2 @ 3.14% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.89% ( -0.11) 4-0 @ 2.85% ( -0.17) 4-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.08% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.51% Total : 57.43%	1-1 @ 10.59% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 5.58% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.03% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.4%	0-1 @ 5.66% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 5.37% ( 0.2) 0-2 @ 2.87% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.07) Other @ 1.78% Total : 20.17%