Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 39.14%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 37% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.11%) and 0-2 (5.59%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 2-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Liverpool in this match.