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Premier League | Gameweek 36
May 13, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Elland Road
Newcastle logo

Leeds
2 - 2
Newcastle

Ayling (7'), Kristensen (79')
Firpo (59'), Gnonto (68'), Robles (69'), Bamford (90+2')
Firpo (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Wilson (31' pen., 69' pen.)
Guimaraes (57'), Wilson (72')

The Match

Match Report

Sam Allardyce's first home game in charge of Leeds United ends in a fiery 2-2 draw with Newcastle United in Saturday's early Premier League kickoff at Elland Road.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Leeds United and Newcastle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Man City 2-1 Leeds
Saturday, May 6 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Newcastle 0-2 Arsenal
Sunday, May 7 at 4.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 57.19%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Leeds United had a probability of 20.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.49%) and 0-2 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.26%), while for a Leeds United win it was 2-1 (5.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawNewcastle United
20.85% (0.012 0.01) 21.95% (0.0010000000000012 0) 57.19% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Both teams to score 56.51% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.99% (0.011000000000003 0.01)42.01% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.58% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)64.41% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.08% (0.016999999999996 0.02)33.92% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.4% (0.018999999999998 0.02)70.59% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.52% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)14.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.54% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)42.45%
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 20.85%
    Newcastle United 57.19%
    Draw 21.95%
Leeds UnitedDrawNewcastle United
2-1 @ 5.55% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 5.31%
2-0 @ 2.87% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 2% (0.002 0)
3-2 @ 1.93% (0.002 0)
3-0 @ 1.03% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 20.85%
1-1 @ 10.26%
2-2 @ 5.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 4.91% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.24% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 21.95%
1-2 @ 9.92%
0-1 @ 9.49% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 9.17% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 6.39% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 5.91% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
2-3 @ 3.45% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-4 @ 3.09%
0-4 @ 2.85% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-4 @ 1.67%
1-5 @ 1.19%
0-5 @ 1.1% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 57.19%

How you voted: Leeds vs Newcastle

Leeds United
15.7%
Draw
10.5%
Newcastle United
73.9%
153
Head to Head
Dec 31, 2022 3pm
Jan 22, 2022 3pm
gameweek 23
Leeds
0-1
Newcastle

James (57'), Dallas (67'), Llorente (74'), Rodrigo (84')
Shelvey (75')
Saint-Maximin (57'), Dummett (62')
Sep 17, 2021 8pm
gameweek 5
Newcastle
1-1
Leeds
Saint-Maximin (44')
Ritchie (8'), Almiron (39')
Raphinha (13')
Rodrigo (57'), Firpo (80')
Jan 26, 2021 6pm
gameweek 20
Newcastle
1-2
Leeds
Almiron (57')
Schar (87')
Raphinha (17'), Harrison (61')
Alioski (54'), Rodrigo (87'), Harrison (90+1')
Dec 16, 2020 6pm
gameweek 13
Leeds
5-2
Newcastle
Bamford (35'), Rodrigo (61'), Dallas (77'), Alioski (85'), Harrison (88')
Klich (37'), Phillips (48'), Raphinha (67')
Hendrick (26'), Clark (65')
Hayden (50')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Aston Villa178452626028
6Manchester CityMan City178362925427
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
8Bournemouth167452421325
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
10Fulham166642422224
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Crystal Palace173771826-816
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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