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Premier League | Gameweek 34
Apr 30, 2023 at 2pm UK
Dean Court
Leeds logo

Bournemouth
4 - 1
Leeds

Lerma (20', 24'), Solanke (63'), Semenyo (90+1')
Smith (55')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Bamford (32')

The Match

Match Report

Bournemouth take a giant step towards Premier League survival with a 4-1 thumping of fellow relegation candidates Leeds United at the Vitality Stadium.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Bournemouth and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Southampton 0-1 Bournemouth
Thursday, April 27 at 7.45pm in Premier League
Last Game: Leeds 1-1 Leicester
Tuesday, April 25 at 8pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 41.64%. A win for Bournemouth had a probability of 32.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.83%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Bournemouth win was 1-0 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.

Result
BournemouthDrawLeeds United
32.77% (0.012999999999998 0.01) 25.59% (0.0039999999999978 0) 41.64% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 54.95% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.04% (-0.012 -0.01)48.95% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.95% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)71.04% (0.012999999999991 0.01)
Bournemouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.68% (0.0019999999999953 0)28.32% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.95% (0.0039999999999978 0)64.05% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.66% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)23.34% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.7% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)57.3% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Bournemouth 32.77%
    Leeds United 41.64%
    Draw 25.58%
BournemouthDrawLeeds United
1-0 @ 8.34% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.65% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 5.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 3.22% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.34%
3-0 @ 2.21% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 32.77%
1-1 @ 12.13%
0-0 @ 6.61% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 5.57% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.58%
0-1 @ 9.62% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-2 @ 8.83% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 7% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 4.28% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 3.39% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.7% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.56% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 1.23% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 0.98% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 41.64%

How you voted: Bournemouth vs Leeds

Bournemouth
54.5%
Draw
26.2%
Leeds United
19.3%
145
Head to Head
Nov 5, 2022 3pm
gameweek 15
Leeds
4-3
Bournemouth
Rodrigo (3' pen.), Greenwood (60'), Cooper (68'), Summerville (84')
Tavernier (7'), Billing (19'), Solanke (48')
Lerma (45+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool21155150203050
2Arsenal22128243212244
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest22135433221144
4Chelsea22117444271740
5Manchester CityMan City22115644291538
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle22115638261238
7Bournemouth22107536261037
8Aston Villa2210663334-136
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2281043530534
10Fulham228953430433
11Brentford2284104039128
12Crystal Palace226972528-327
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd2275102732-526
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2275102743-1626
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs22731245351024
16Everton214891828-1020
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2244143251-1916
18Ipswich TownIpswich2237122043-2316
19Leicester CityLeicester2235142348-2514
20Southampton2213181550-356


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