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Ligue 1
Montpellier
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 13
Nov 26, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stade de la Mosson
Brest logo

Montpellier
1 - 3
Brest

Savanier (51' pen.)
Savanier (24'), Adams (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Esteve (20' og.), Pereira Lage (64'), Doumbia (90+3')
Lees-Melou (30'), Del Castillo (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Montpellier HSC and Brest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Montpellier HSC

All competitions
Last Game: Montpellier 0-0 Nice
Friday, November 10 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Brest

All competitions
Last Game: Monaco 2-0 Brest
Sunday, November 5 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

We said: Montpellier HSC 2-0 Brest

 Both teams will point to difficult recent fixtures as to why their formbooks are misleading going into this match, but despite Brest sitting higher in the table and having generally been the better side this season, we are backing the home side to come away with the points. Montpellier have only been beaten once at home all season and have not conceded in any of their last three home games, whereas Brest have failed to score in any of their last three away games. It is a more confident Brest side than the one that lost last season's meetings 10-0 on aggregate, but they have also only won one of their last 15 meetings with Montpellier, and we are backing Der Zakarian to get one over on his former club. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 44.02%. A win for Brest had a probability of 30.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Brest win was 0-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.

Result
Montpellier HSCDrawBrest
44.02% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07) 25.76% (0.018999999999998 0.02) 30.21% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Both teams to score 53.3% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.39% (-0.052 -0.05)50.61% (0.052 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.48% (-0.044 -0.04)72.52% (0.045999999999992 0.05)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.1% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)22.91% (0.055 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.34% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)56.66% (0.080999999999996 0.08)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.14% (0.0099999999999909 0.01)30.87% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.85% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)67.15% (-0.0080000000000098 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Montpellier HSC 44.02%
    Brest 30.21%
    Draw 25.76%
Montpellier HSCDrawBrest
1-0 @ 10.41%
2-1 @ 9.03% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.68% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.43% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.77% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.61% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.63% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.39% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.96% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 44.02%
1-1 @ 12.24% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.07% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.31% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-3 @ 1.02% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.76%
0-1 @ 8.31% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.2% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.89% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.82% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.08% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.91% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 30.21%

How you voted: Montpellier vs Brest

Montpellier HSC
71.4%
Draw
19.0%
Brest
9.5%
21
Head to Head
Feb 12, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 23
Montpellier
3-0
Brest
Herelle (4' og.), Savanier (17' pen.), Wahi (54')
> Preview
Aug 28, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 4
Brest
0-7
Montpellier

Lees-Melou (50')
Maouassa (6'), Wahi (10', 31'), Khazri (11'), Cozza (25'), Germain (64', 84')
Nordin (62'), Leroy (71')
> Preview
Apr 3, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 30
Montpellier
1-2
Brest
Savanier (90+3' pen.)
Mavididi (32'), Sakho (33')
Satriano (69'), Honorat (79')
Satriano (7'), Herelle (31'), Chardonnet (66'), Brassier (90+1')
> Preview
Dec 11, 2021 4pm
Gameweek 18
Brest
0-4
Montpellier

Herelle (62'), Magnetti (84')
Wahi (45+1'), Mavididi (47'), Sambia (60'), Germain (85')
Ferri (89')
> Preview
May 16, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 37
Montpellier
0-0
Brest
Mollet (39')
Mounie (42'), Belkebla (50'), Chardonnet (72')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG1192033102329
2MonacoMonaco117221881023
3Marseille116232415920
4Lille115421811719
5Lyon115331815318
6Nice1145221111017
7Reims115241915417
8Lens11452129317
9Auxerre115152019116
10Toulouse114341311215
11StrasbourgStrasbourg113442022-213
12Brest114161419-513
13Rennes113261318-511
14NantesNantes112451417-310
15Angers112451320-710
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne113171025-1510
17Le HavreLe Havre11308823-159
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier112181131-207
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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