Brest2 - 3PSG
Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, October 22 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Wednesday, October 25 at 8pm in Champions League
We said: Brest 1-3 Paris Saint-Germain
Brest have made the Stade Francis-Le Ble a fortress this season, but their unbeaten home record will certainly come under threat when the champions visit on Sunday. Impressively, PSG have won each of their last 13 competitive meetings with Brest, and we think that they will prove too strong once again to claim maximum points. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 55.53%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Brest had a probability of 21.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.69%) and 0-2 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a Brest win it was 2-1 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Brest | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
21.93% ( -0.28) | 22.53% ( -0.05) | 55.53% ( 0.32) |
| Both teams to score 56.14% ( -0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.75% ( -0.13) | 43.25% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.35% ( -0.13) | 65.65% ( 0.13) |
| Brest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.4% ( -0.33) | 33.6% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.75% ( -0.36) | 70.25% ( 0.36) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.55% ( 0.06) | 15.44% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 55.71% ( 0.11) | 44.29% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brest | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2-1 @ 5.77% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 5.66% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 3.09% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 2.1% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.12% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.25% Total : 21.93% | 1-1 @ 10.57% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 5.19% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.53% | 1-2 @ 9.87% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 9.69% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 9.05% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 6.15% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 5.64% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 3.35% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 2.87% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 2.63% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.57% ( -0)1-5 @ 1.07% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 0.98% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.65% Total : 55.53% |
