Ligue 1 | Gameweek 8
Oct 8, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stade Francis-Le Ble
We said: Brest 1-1 Toulouse
Brest have made a very promising start to the season, currently sitting five points clear of Toulouse in the Ligue 1 table.
However, the visitors have had some very tough games at the start of the season, and we think the two sides are evenly-matched, so Sunday's game could finish as a draw.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 41.79% . A win for Toulouse had a probability of 32.06% and a draw had a probability of 26.2% .
The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.35% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (7.3%) . The likeliest Toulouse win was 0-1 (8.82%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%) . The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result Brest Draw Toulouse 41.79% ( 0.54) 26.15% ( 0.04) 32.06% ( -0.58)
Both teams to score 52.85% ( -0.32)
48.44% ( -0.32) 51.55% ( 0.32)
26.65% ( -0.28) 73.35% ( 0.28)
75.58% ( 0.13) 24.42% ( -0.13)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 41.16% ( 0.19) 58.84% ( -0.19)
69.93% ( -0.55) 30.07% ( 0.55)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 33.79% ( -0.66) 66.2% ( 0.66)
Brest 41.78%
Toulouse 32.06%
Draw 26.15%
Brest Draw Toulouse 1-0 @ 10.35% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 8.77% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 7.3% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 4.12% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.43% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.48% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.45% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.21% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.68% Total : 41.78% 1-1 @ 12.43% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.34% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.27% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.15% 0-1 @ 8.82% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.47% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 5.3% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 2.99% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.24% Total : 32.06%
How you voted: Brest vs Toulouse
17
rhs 2.0
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