MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 17:40:50| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Brest logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 8
Oct 8, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stade Francis-Le Ble
Toulouse

Brest
1 - 1
Toulouse

Satriano (90+2')
Camara (45+5'), Brassier (70')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Magri (27')
Spierings (10'), Magri (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Brest and Toulouse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nice 0-0 Brest
Sunday, October 1 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Toulouse 1-0 LASK
Thursday, October 5 at 8pm in Europa League

We said: Brest 1-1 Toulouse

Brest have made a very promising start to the season, currently sitting five points clear of Toulouse in the Ligue 1 table. However, the visitors have had some very tough games at the start of the season, and we think the two sides are evenly-matched, so Sunday's game could finish as a draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 41.79%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 32.06% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 0-1 (8.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
BrestDrawToulouse
41.79% (0.544 0.54) 26.15% (0.038 0.04) 32.06% (-0.584 -0.58)
Both teams to score 52.85% (-0.317 -0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.44% (-0.32 -0.32)51.55% (0.319 0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.65% (-0.279 -0.28)73.35% (0.279 0.28)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.58% (0.134 0.13)24.42% (-0.134 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.16% (0.191 0.19)58.84% (-0.192 -0.19)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.93% (-0.545 -0.55)30.07% (0.545 0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.79% (-0.657 -0.66)66.2% (0.658 0.66)
Score Analysis
    Brest 41.78%
    Toulouse 32.06%
    Draw 26.15%
BrestDrawToulouse
1-0 @ 10.35% (0.17 0.17)
2-1 @ 8.77% (0.048 0.05)
2-0 @ 7.3% (0.149 0.15)
3-1 @ 4.12% (0.038 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.43% (0.083 0.08)
3-2 @ 2.48% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.45% (0.019 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.21% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 41.78%
1-1 @ 12.43% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.34% (0.093 0.09)
2-2 @ 5.27% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-3 @ 0.99% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.15%
0-1 @ 8.82% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.47% (-0.102 -0.1)
0-2 @ 5.3% (-0.093 -0.09)
1-3 @ 2.99% (-0.087 -0.09)
0-3 @ 2.12% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.11% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 32.06%

How you voted: Brest vs Toulouse

Brest
88.2%
Draw
11.8%
Toulouse
0.0%
17
Head to Head
Apr 2, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 29
Brest
3-1
Toulouse
Mounie (33'), Le Douaron (63'), Camara (84')
Dallinga (10')
Jan 15, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 19
Toulouse
1-1
Brest
Aboukhlal (65')
Mounie (18')
Jan 11, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 20
Toulouse
2-5
Brest
Diakite (16', 21')
Vainqueur (84')
Court (7'), Charbonnier (72', 77'), Mbock (79'), Cardona (85')
Aug 10, 2019 7pm
Gameweek 1
Brest
1-1
Toulouse
Autret (25')
Koulouris (89')
Mar 9, 2013 7pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG1192033102329
2MonacoMonaco117221881023
3Marseille116232415920
4Lille115421811719
5Lyon115331815318
6Nice1145221111017
7Reims115241915417
8Lens11452129317
9Auxerre115152019116
10Toulouse114341311215
11StrasbourgStrasbourg113442022-213
12Brest114161419-513
13Rennes113261318-511
14NantesNantes112451417-310
15Angers112451320-710
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne113171025-1510
17Le HavreLe Havre11308823-159
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier112181131-207


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