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Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Lyon
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 4
Sep 3, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Parc Olympique Lyonnais
PSG logo

Lyon
1 - 4
PSG

Tolisso (74' pen.)
Tolisso (3'), Maitland-Niles (58')
FT(HT: 0-4)
Mbappe (4' pen., 45+2'), Hakimi (20'), Asensio (38')
Hernandez (48'), Zaire-Emery (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lyon and Paris Saint-Germain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nice 0-0 Lyon
Sunday, August 27 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lyon 0-2 Paris Saint-Germain

PSG have won six of their last eight Ligue 1 away matches, scoring two or more on each occasion while also drawing the other two, so will come in as big favourites. Blanc will not want to enter the international break with his side still in the relegation zone, but the task may be too much for a side very much out of form. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 50.17%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 28.22% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.25%) and 0-1 (6.23%). The likeliest Lyon win was 2-1 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
LyonDrawParis Saint-Germain
28.22% (1.77 1.77) 21.61% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08) 50.17% (-1.689 -1.69)
Both teams to score 66.56% (1.944 1.94)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.38% (1.873 1.87)32.61% (-1.874 -1.87)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.72% (2.135 2.14)54.28% (-2.136 -2.14)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.92% (2.136 2.14)23.08% (-2.137 -2.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.08% (3.035 3.04)56.91% (-3.036 -3.04)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.53% (0.12700000000001 0.13)13.47% (-0.128 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.53% (0.256 0.26)40.46% (-0.257 -0.26)
Score Analysis
    Lyon 28.22%
    Paris Saint-Germain 50.17%
    Draw 21.61%
LyonDrawParis Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 6.7% (0.206 0.21)
1-0 @ 4.56% (-0.166 -0.17)
2-0 @ 3.34% (0.087 0.09)
3-2 @ 3.28% (0.307 0.31)
3-1 @ 3.27% (0.292 0.29)
3-0 @ 1.63% (0.139 0.14)
4-2 @ 1.2% (0.178 0.18)
4-1 @ 1.2% (0.173 0.17)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 28.22%
1-1 @ 9.14% (-0.288 -0.29)
2-2 @ 6.72% (0.237 0.24)
0-0 @ 3.11% (-0.32 -0.32)
3-3 @ 2.19% (0.215 0.22)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 21.61%
1-2 @ 9.16% (-0.243 -0.24)
0-2 @ 6.25% (-0.578 -0.58)
0-1 @ 6.23% (-0.609 -0.61)
1-3 @ 6.12% (-0.133 -0.13)
2-3 @ 4.49% (0.179 0.18)
0-3 @ 4.18% (-0.364 -0.36)
1-4 @ 3.07% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-4 @ 2.25% (0.1 0.1)
0-4 @ 2.09% (-0.172 -0.17)
1-5 @ 1.23% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-4 @ 1.1% (0.113 0.11)
2-5 @ 0.9% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 50.17%

How you voted: Lyon vs PSG

Lyon
15.4%
Draw
10.8%
Paris Saint-Germain
73.8%
65
Head to Head
Apr 2, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
PSG
0-1
Lyon
Barcola (56')
Sep 18, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Lyon
0-1
PSG
Messi (5')
Jan 9, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Lyon
1-1
PSG
Paqueta (7')
Palmieri (84'), Boateng (90')
Kehrer (76')
Verratti (43'), Dagba (59')
Sep 19, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
PSG
2-1
Lyon
Neymar (66' pen.), Icardi (90+2')
di Maria (6'), Marquinhos (67'), Mendes (89')
Paqueta (54')
Lopes (80')
Mar 21, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 30
Lyon
2-4
PSG
Slimani (62'), Cornet (81')
Kadewere (40'), Diomande (90+1')
Mbappe (15', 52'), Pereira (32'), Di Maria (47')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG108202982126
2Marseille1062223121120
3MonacoMonaco10622157820
4Lille10532169718
5Nice104421991016
6Lyon104331715215
7Lens1035297214
8Reims104241615114
9StrasbourgStrasbourg103431919013
10Auxerre104151718-113
11Brest104151316-313
12Toulouse103341111012
13Rennes103251316-311
14NantesNantes102441214-210
15Angers102441116-510
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne103161024-1410
17Le HavreLe Havre10307820-129
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier10118830-224


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