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Ligue 1
Lyon
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 4
Sep 3, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Parc Olympique Lyonnais
PSG logo

Lyon
1 - 4
PSG

Tolisso (74' pen.)
Tolisso (3'), Maitland-Niles (58')
FT(HT: 0-4)
Mbappe (4' pen., 45+2'), Hakimi (20'), Asensio (38')
Hernandez (48'), Zaire-Emery (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lyon and Paris Saint-Germain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lyon

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Nice 0-0 Lyon
Sunday, August 27 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: PSG 3-1 Lens
Saturday, August 26 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lyon 0-2 Paris Saint-Germain

 PSG have won six of their last eight Ligue 1 away matches, scoring two or more on each occasion while also drawing the other two, so will come in as big favourites. Blanc will not want to enter the international break with his side still in the relegation zone, but the task may be too much for a side very much out of form. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 50.17%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 28.22% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.25%) and 0-1 (6.23%). The likeliest Lyon win was 2-1 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
LyonDrawParis Saint-Germain
28.22% (1.77 1.77) 21.61% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08) 50.17% (-1.689 -1.69)
Both teams to score 66.56% (1.944 1.94)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.38% (1.873 1.87)32.61% (-1.874 -1.87)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.72% (2.135 2.14)54.28% (-2.136 -2.14)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.92% (2.136 2.14)23.08% (-2.137 -2.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.08% (3.035 3.04)56.91% (-3.036 -3.04)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.53% (0.12700000000001 0.13)13.47% (-0.128 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.53% (0.256 0.26)40.46% (-0.257 -0.26)
Score Analysis
    Lyon 28.22%
    Paris Saint-Germain 50.17%
    Draw 21.61%
LyonDrawParis Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 6.7% (0.206 0.21)
1-0 @ 4.56% (-0.166 -0.17)
2-0 @ 3.34% (0.087 0.09)
3-2 @ 3.28% (0.307 0.31)
3-1 @ 3.27% (0.292 0.29)
3-0 @ 1.63% (0.139 0.14)
4-2 @ 1.2% (0.178 0.18)
4-1 @ 1.2% (0.173 0.17)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 28.22%
1-1 @ 9.14% (-0.288 -0.29)
2-2 @ 6.72% (0.237 0.24)
0-0 @ 3.11% (-0.32 -0.32)
3-3 @ 2.19% (0.215 0.22)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 21.61%
1-2 @ 9.16% (-0.243 -0.24)
0-2 @ 6.25% (-0.578 -0.58)
0-1 @ 6.23% (-0.609 -0.61)
1-3 @ 6.12% (-0.133 -0.13)
2-3 @ 4.49% (0.179 0.18)
0-3 @ 4.18% (-0.364 -0.36)
1-4 @ 3.07% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-4 @ 2.25% (0.1 0.1)
0-4 @ 2.09% (-0.172 -0.17)
1-5 @ 1.23% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-4 @ 1.1% (0.113 0.11)
2-5 @ 0.9% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 50.17%

How you voted: Lyon vs PSG

Lyon
15.4%
Draw
10.8%
Paris Saint-Germain
73.8%
65
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Sep 19, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
PSG
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Lyon
Neymar (66' pen.), Icardi (90+2')
di Maria (6'), Marquinhos (67'), Mendes (89')
Paqueta (54')
Lopes (80')
> Preview
Mar 21, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 30
Lyon
2-4
PSG
Slimani (62'), Cornet (81')
Kadewere (40'), Diomande (90+1')
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> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG18144048163246
2Marseille18114340211937
3Lille1888228171132
4MonacoMonaco189452920931
5Nice1886436251130
6Lyon188552922729
7Lens187652218427
8Toulouse187471919025
9Brest188192831-325
10StrasbourgStrasbourg186663130124
11Auxerre186482428-422
12Angers186482127-622
13Reims185672426-221
14Rennes1852112427-317
15NantesNantes183872128-717
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1852111738-2117
17Le HavreLe Havre1841131437-2313
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1833121843-2512
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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