MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 18:06:54| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
PSG logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 3
Aug 26, 2023 at 8pm UK
Parc des Princes
Lens logo

PSG
3 - 1
Lens

Asensio (44'), Mbappe (52', 90')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Guilavogui (90+5')
Medina (19'), Haise (31'), Sotoca (42'), Spierings (79'), Machado (82'), Gradit (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Lens, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lens 1-1 Rennes
Sunday, August 20 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

We said: Paris Saint-Germain 2-1 Lens

Saturday's showdown looks destined to be a tense and cagey encounter between two underperforming teams, but we expect PSG to flex their muscles and edge out Lens on home soil. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 47.15%. A win for Lens had a probability of 29.3% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.21%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Lens win was 1-2 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Paris Saint-GermainDrawLens
47.15% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01) 23.54%29.3% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Both teams to score 60.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.72% (0.0019999999999953 0)41.28% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.32% (0.0030000000000001 0)63.67% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.25% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)17.74% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.57% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)48.42% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.22% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)26.77% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.95% (0.014000000000003 0.01)62.05% (-0.012 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Paris Saint-Germain 47.15%
    Lens 29.3%
    Draw 23.54%
Paris Saint-GermainDrawLens
2-1 @ 9.36% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 8.21% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-0 @ 7.1% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 5.39% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 4.09% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 3.55%
4-1 @ 2.33% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 1.77% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.54%
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 47.15%
1-1 @ 10.82%
2-2 @ 6.17% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 4.75% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.56%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.54%
1-2 @ 7.13% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 6.26% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 4.13% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 3.13% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.71% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.81% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.03% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 29.3%

How you voted: PSG vs Lens

Paris Saint-Germain
68.9%
Draw
21.3%
Lens
9.8%
61
Head to Head
Apr 15, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 31
PSG
3-1
Lens
Mbappe (31'), Vitinha (37'), Messi (40')
Frankowski (60' pen.)
Jan 1, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Lens
3-1
PSG
Frankowski (5'), Openda (28'), Claude-Maurice (47')
Ekitike (8')
Apr 23, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 34
PSG
1-1
Lens
Messi (68')
Ramos (54'), Verratti (73'), Marquinhos (78'), Neymar (90')
Jean (88')
Danso (9')
Danso (57')
Dec 4, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 17
Lens
1-1
PSG
Fofana (62')
Medina (47'), Gradit (90+2')
Wijnaldum (90+1')
Verratti (63'), Hakimi (90')
May 1, 2021 4pm
Gameweek 35
PSG
2-1
Lens
Neymar (33'), Marquinhos (59'), Ganago (61')
Medina (66'), Sotoca (76'), Herrera (78'), Kehrer (89'), Marquinhos (90+1'), Verratti (90+4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG1192033102329
2MonacoMonaco117221881023
3Marseille116232415920
4Lille115421811719
5Lyon115331815318
6Nice1145221111017
7Reims115241915417
8Lens11452129317
9Auxerre115152019116
10Toulouse114341311215
11StrasbourgStrasbourg113442022-213
12Brest114161419-513
13Rennes113261318-511
14NantesNantes112451417-310
15Angers112451320-710
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne113171025-1510
17Le HavreLe Havre11308823-159
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier112181131-207


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