Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 47.15%. A win for Lens had a probability of 29.3% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.21%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Lens win was 1-2 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
Result | ||
Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Lens |
47.15% ( -0.01) | 23.54% | 29.3% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 60.23% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.72% ( 0) | 41.28% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.32% ( 0) | 63.67% ( -0) |
Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.25% ( -0) | 17.74% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.57% ( -0.01) | 48.42% ( 0.01) |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.22% ( 0.01) | 26.77% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.95% ( 0.01) | 62.05% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Lens |
2-1 @ 9.36% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.21% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.1% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.39% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.09% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.55% 4-1 @ 2.33% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.77% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.54% Other @ 3.79% Total : 47.15% | 1-1 @ 10.82% 2-2 @ 6.17% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.75% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.56% Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.54% | 1-2 @ 7.13% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.26% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.13% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.13% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.71% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.81% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 3.1% Total : 29.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 33 | 10 | 23 | 29 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 23 |
3 | Marseille | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 15 | 9 | 20 |
4 | Lille | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 19 |
5 | Lyon | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Nice | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 17 |
7 | Reims | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 17 |
8 | Lens | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 17 |
9 | Auxerre | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 16 |
10 | Toulouse | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 15 |
11 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 13 |
12 | Brest | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 13 |
13 | Rennes | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 11 |
14 | NantesNantes | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 10 |
15 | Angers | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 10 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 25 | -15 | 10 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 9 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 31 | -20 | 7 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |