MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 11:40:51| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Marseille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 25
Mar 10, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Nantes

Marseille
2 - 0
Nantes

Aubameyang (17', 79')
Aubameyang (74'), Mbemba (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Douglas (27'), Amian (45+1'), Gourvennec (80'), Sissoko (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Nantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Marseille 4-0 Villarreal
Thursday, March 7 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Nantes 0-2 Metz
Sunday, March 3 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Marseille 3-1 Nantes

Enjoying a new lease of life under the expert tutelage of Gasset, Marseille will be confident of securing a third-straight Ligue 1 win on Sunday night. Nantes' survival aims took a hit against Metz last time out, and the Orange Velodrome is not an ideal location to bounce back with a result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 67.47%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 13.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.76%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.07%), while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (4.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Marseille in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Marseille.

Result
MarseilleDrawNantes
67.47% (0.43599999999999 0.44) 19.1% (-0.149 -0.15) 13.43% (-0.289 -0.29)
Both teams to score 50.3% (-0.303 -0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.59% (0.015999999999998 0.02)42.41% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.18% (0.015000000000001 0.02)64.82% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.4% (0.122 0.12)11.6% (-0.125 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.41% (0.264 0.26)36.59% (-0.267 -0.27)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.9% (-0.423 -0.42)43.09% (0.42100000000001 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.63% (-0.357 -0.36)79.37% (0.35300000000001 0.35)
Score Analysis
    Marseille 67.45%
    Nantes 13.43%
    Draw 19.1%
MarseilleDrawNantes
2-0 @ 11.59% (0.1 0.1)
1-0 @ 10.76% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.76% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 8.33% (0.116 0.12)
3-1 @ 7.01% (0.016 0.02)
4-0 @ 4.49% (0.084000000000001 0.08)
4-1 @ 3.78% (0.027 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.95% (-0.027 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.93% (0.045 0.04)
5-1 @ 1.63% (0.019 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.59% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 67.45%
1-1 @ 9.07% (-0.068 -0.07)
0-0 @ 5% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-2 @ 4.11% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 19.1%
0-1 @ 4.21% (-0.053 -0.05)
1-2 @ 3.82% (-0.073 -0.07)
0-2 @ 1.77% (-0.043 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.15% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.07% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 13.43%

How you voted: Marseille vs Nantes

Marseille
92.9%
Draw
5.4%
Nantes
1.8%
56
Head to Head
Sep 1, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 4
Nantes
1-1
Marseille
Mohamed (39')
Aristouy (69')
Meupiyou (9')
Sarr (4')
Aubameyang (26'), Rongier (70')
Feb 1, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 21
Nantes
0-2
Marseille
Victor (57' og.), Ounahi (90+3')
Aug 20, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 3
Marseille
2-1
Nantes
Mbemba (70'), Pallois (82' og.)
Rongier (55'), Gigot (60'), Lopez (76'), Veretout (90+3')
Gigot (76')
Blas (78' pen.)
Guessand (59')
Apr 20, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 33
Marseille
3-2
Nantes
Payet (39' pen., 55' pen.), Harit (75')
Peres (35'), Milik (87')
Girotto (26'), Coco (41')
Blas (32'), Coco (45'), Da Silva (81'), Appiah (90+1')
Coco (90+3')
Dec 1, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 16
Nantes
0-1
Marseille

Pallois (14'), Lafont (78')
Pallois (32')
Gerson (30')
Gerson (71'), Gonzalez (78')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG108202982126
2Marseille1062223121120
3MonacoMonaco10622157820
4Lille10532169718
5Nice104421991016
6Lyon104331715215
7Lens1035297214
8Reims104241615114
9StrasbourgStrasbourg103431919013
10Auxerre104151718-113
11Brest104151316-313
12Toulouse103341111012
13Rennes103251316-311
14NantesNantes102441214-210
15Angers102441116-510
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne103161024-1410
17Le HavreLe Havre10307820-129
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier10118830-224


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!