Ligue 1 | Gameweek 24
Mar 3, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau
Nantes0 - 2Metz
FT(HT: 0-0)
We said: Nantes 2-1 Metz
Nantes have managed much-needed wins over Toulouse and Lorient in recent weeks, and Les Canaris should be confident of repeating the trick on Sunday afternoon. Against a backdrop of fan protests and financial issues, we do not believe that Metz will be able to earn a positive result at Stade de la Beaujoire this weekend. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 42.8%. A win for Metz had a probability of 31.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Metz win was 0-1 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nantes | Draw | Metz |
42.8% ( -0.28) | 25.82% ( 0.24) | 31.39% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 53.69% ( -0.76) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.64% ( -0.99) | 50.37% ( 1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.7% ( -0.89) | 72.31% ( 0.9) |
| Nantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.61% ( -0.56) | 23.39% ( 0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.63% ( -0.83) | 57.38% ( 0.84) |
| Metz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.08% ( -0.47) | 29.93% ( 0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.97% ( -0.57) | 66.03% ( 0.58) |
| Score Analysis |
Nantes 42.8%
Metz 31.39%
Draw 25.81%
| Nantes | Draw | Metz |
| 1-0 @ 10.17% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 8.91% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 7.39% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 4.32% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 3.58% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 1.57% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 1.3% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.01% Total : 42.8% | 1-1 @ 12.26% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 7% ( 0.28)2-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.11)3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.81% | 0-1 @ 8.45% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 7.4% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.09% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 2.05% ( 0)Other @ 3.27% Total : 31.39% |
How you voted: Nantes vs Metz
Nantes
82.4%Draw
11.8%Metz
5.9%17
Head to Head
Nov 12, 2023 2pm
Feb 27, 2022 2pm
Aug 15, 2021 2pm
Jan 24, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 21
Metz
2-0
Nantes
Nov 22, 2020 12pm
Gameweek 11
Nantes
1-1
Metz
