Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 37.92%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 34% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.96%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Nantes win was 0-1 (10.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Metz would win this match.