MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 19:50:51| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Nice
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 19
Jan 27, 2024 at 4pm UK
Allianz Riviera
Metz logo

Nice
1 - 0
Metz

Guessand (77' pen.)
Bard (61')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Sabaly (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Nice and Metz, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bordeaux 2-3 Nice
Saturday, January 20 at 4.30pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Metz 0-1 Toulouse
Sunday, January 14 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Nice 1-0 Metz

Not having their top goalscorer in Moffi available will be difficult for Nice, but Les Aiglons have proven countless times over this campaign that they can hold down the fort and grind out a victory. As for Metz, they seem low on confidence and struggling to find solutions in the attack, and we believe they will have a difficult time breaking down a defensive unit as stable as Nice. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 60.97%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Metz had a probability of 16.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.07%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a Metz win it was 0-1 (6.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nice in this match.

Result
NiceDrawMetz
60.97% (0.574 0.57) 22.77% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04) 16.26% (-0.538 -0.54)
Both teams to score 45.68% (-0.957 -0.96)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.73% (-0.702 -0.7)52.27% (0.702 0.7)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.03% (-0.608 -0.61)73.97% (0.607 0.61)
Nice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.26% (-0.049000000000007 -0.05)16.74% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.35% (-0.086000000000006 -0.09)46.65% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Metz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.86% (-1.116 -1.12)45.14% (1.117 1.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.96% (-0.901 -0.9)81.04% (0.90000000000001 0.9)
Score Analysis
    Nice 60.97%
    Metz 16.26%
    Draw 22.77%
NiceDrawMetz
1-0 @ 13.5% (0.35 0.35)
2-0 @ 12.07% (0.3 0.3)
2-1 @ 9.6% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-0 @ 7.19% (0.164 0.16)
3-1 @ 5.72% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-0 @ 3.21% (0.068 0.07)
4-1 @ 2.56% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.28% (-0.09 -0.09)
5-0 @ 1.15% (0.022 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.02% (-0.042 -0.04)
5-1 @ 0.91% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 60.97%
1-1 @ 10.74% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
0-0 @ 7.55% (0.208 0.21)
2-2 @ 3.82% (-0.145 -0.15)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 22.77%
0-1 @ 6.01% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-2 @ 4.27% (-0.156 -0.16)
0-2 @ 2.39% (-0.083 -0.08)
1-3 @ 1.13% (-0.078 -0.08)
2-3 @ 1.01% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 16.26%

How you voted: Nice vs Metz

Nice
80.0%
Draw
15.0%
Metz
5.0%
40
Head to Head
Oct 7, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 8
Metz
0-1
Nice
Boudaoui (14')
Thuram (21')
Jan 23, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 22
Metz
0-2
Nice

Kana-Biyik (45+1'), Salif Mbengue (55'), Ndiaga Yade (57')
Thuram (58'), Gouiri (86' pen.)
Rosario (64')
Nov 27, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 15
Nice
0-1
Metz

Delort (21'), Stengs (39')
Centonze (31')
N'Doram (4'), Jemerson (16')
Feb 21, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 26
Nice
1-2
Metz
Gouiri (61' pen.)
Sellouki (90+1')
Kouyate (15'), Gueye (38')
Jan 9, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 19
Metz
1-1
Nice
Boye (79')
Kouyate (17'), Maziz (36')
Gouiri (18' pen.)
Nsoki (67'), Boudaoui (76')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG108202982126
2Marseille1062223121120
3MonacoMonaco10622157820
4Lille10532169718
5Nice104421991016
6Lyon104331715215
7Lens1035297214
8Reims104241615114
9StrasbourgStrasbourg103431919013
10Auxerre104151718-113
11Brest104151316-313
12Toulouse103341111012
13Rennes103251316-311
14NantesNantes102441214-210
15Angers102441116-510
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne103161024-1410
17Le HavreLe Havre10307820-129
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier10118830-224


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