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Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Nice
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 13
Nov 26, 2023 at 12pm UK
Allianz Riviera
Toulouse

Nice
1 - 0
Toulouse

Moffi (54')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Casseres Jr (33'), Bangre (81'), Desler (83'), Gelabert (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Nice and Toulouse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Montpellier 0-0 Nice
Friday, November 10 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 1-1 Toulouse
Sunday, November 12 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Nice 1-0 Toulouse

Forced to work without the suspended Dallinga and injured Aboukhlal, Toulouse's chances of breaching a near-impenetrable Nice backline are wafer-thin, and Martinez's men could learn a thing or two about rearguard mastery from their upcoming opponents. For all of the hosts' remarkable work at the back, 13 goals at the correct end of the field is still the worst record in the top four, so only a solitary strike may separate the sides on Sunday as Nice extend their unbeaten record. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 56.16%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Toulouse had a probability of 19.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.67%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for a Toulouse win it was 0-1 (6.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nice in this match.

Result
NiceDrawToulouse
56.16% (0.15499999999999 0.15) 23.94% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 19.9% (-0.147 -0.15)
Both teams to score 48.73% (-0.203 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.36% (-0.15300000000001 -0.15)51.63% (0.155 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.58% (-0.134 -0.13)73.42% (0.13500000000001 0.14)
Nice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.77%18.23% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.74%49.26% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.59% (-0.247 -0.25)40.41% (0.249 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.97% (-0.226 -0.23)77.02% (0.226 0.23)
Score Analysis
    Nice 56.15%
    Toulouse 19.9%
    Draw 23.93%
NiceDrawToulouse
1-0 @ 12.53% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
2-0 @ 10.67% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 9.67% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.06% (0.037 0.04)
3-1 @ 5.49% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
4-0 @ 2.58% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.49% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.34% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.06% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 56.15%
1-1 @ 11.36%
0-0 @ 7.37% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.38% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 23.93%
0-1 @ 6.67% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-2 @ 5.15% (-0.037999999999999 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3.02% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.56% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.32% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-3 @ 0.91% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 1.26%
Total : 19.9%

How you voted: Nice vs Toulouse

Nice
83.8%
Draw
10.8%
Toulouse
5.4%
37
Head to Head
May 21, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 36
Nice
0-0
Toulouse
Beka Beka (32'), Moffi (72')
Nicolaisen (23'), Spierings (90+3')
Aug 7, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 1
Toulouse
1-1
Nice
Dallinga (20')
Keben (86')
Ramsey (78')
Rosario (63'), Dante (65')
Feb 15, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 25
Toulouse
0-2
Nice

Gradel (58'), Sangare (83')
Gabrielsen (27'), Moreira (77')
Lees-Melou (12'), Herelle (90')
Dec 21, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Nice
3-0
Toulouse
Sarr (16'), Boudaoui (19'), Lees-Melou (40')
Boudaoui (25')

Kone (7'), Sangare (37'), Isimat-Mirin (53'), Adli (89')
Mar 15, 2019 6pm
Gameweek 29
Nice
1-1
Toulouse
Cyprien (20')
Mubele (88')
Sylla (24'), Gradel (61')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG16124044143040
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1693426161030
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon157442720725
6Nice156632819924
7Lens156631914524
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest156182427-319
12Rennes155282020017
13StrasbourgStrasbourg154562527-217
14NantesNantes153571724-714
15Angers153481426-1213
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1540111129-1812
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1523101538-239


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