Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 63.21%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 16.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 1-0 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.39%), while for a Lorient win it was 1-2 (4.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Lens in this match.
Result | ||
Lens | Draw | Lorient |
63.21% ( -0.34) | 20.09% ( 0.03) | 16.69% ( 0.31) |
Both teams to score 55.16% ( 0.6) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.9% ( 0.45) | 40.1% ( -0.45) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.53% ( 0.46) | 62.47% ( -0.46) |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.92% ( 0.04) | 12.08% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.38% ( 0.09) | 37.62% ( -0.09) |
Lorient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.74% ( 0.65) | 37.26% ( -0.65) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.95% ( 0.64) | 74.04% ( -0.63) |
Score Analysis |
Lens | Draw | Lorient |
2-0 @ 10.05% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.51% ( -0.18) 3-0 @ 7.08% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 6.99% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.74% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 3.7% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.45% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.82% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 1.58% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.78% Total : 63.21% | 1-1 @ 9.39% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.9% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 4.5% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.16% Total : 20.09% | 1-2 @ 4.64% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 4.44% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.19% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.28% Total : 16.69% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 5 | 15 | 16 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 16 |
3 | Marseille | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 13 |
4 | Reims | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 11 |
5 | Lille | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 10 |
6 | Lens | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 10 |
7 | NantesNantes | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
8 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 9 |
9 | Nice | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 8 |
10 | Rennes | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 7 |
11 | Lyon | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 7 |
12 | Auxerre | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 6 |
13 | Brest | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 6 |
14 | Le HavreLe Havre | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 6 |
15 | Toulouse | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 5 |
16 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 17 | -11 | 4 |
17 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 17 | -14 | 4 |
18 | Angers | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 2 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |