Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 72.43%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 11.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 3-0 (8.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.97%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 1-2 (3.44%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
Result | ||
Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
72.43% ( 2.98) | 15.73% ( -0.34) | 11.84% ( -2.64) |
Both teams to score 58.23% ( -7.3) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
70.04% ( -5.23) | 29.96% ( 5.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
48.86% ( -6.58) | 51.14% ( 6.58) |
Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.79% ( -0.69) | 7.21% ( 0.69) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
73.84% ( -1.85) | 26.16% ( 1.85) |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.75% ( -7.35) | 37.24% ( 7.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.97% ( -8.04) | 74.03% ( 8.04) |
Score Analysis |
Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
2-0 @ 9.28% ( 2.02) 2-1 @ 9.17% ( 0.4) 3-0 @ 8.14% ( 1.53) 3-1 @ 8.04% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 7.06% ( 1.74) 4-0 @ 5.35% ( 0.84) 4-1 @ 5.29% ( -0.16) 3-2 @ 3.97% ( -0.85) 5-0 @ 2.82% ( 0.35) 5-1 @ 2.78% ( -0.2) 4-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.68) 5-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.42) 6-0 @ 1.23% ( 0.11) 6-1 @ 1.22% ( -0.14) Other @ 4.1% Total : 72.43% | 1-1 @ 6.97% ( 0.55) 2-2 @ 4.53% ( -0.77) 0-0 @ 2.68% ( 0.74) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.63) Other @ 0.24% Total : 15.73% | 1-2 @ 3.44% ( -0.44) 0-1 @ 2.65% ( 0.3) 2-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.64) 0-2 @ 1.31% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.43) Other @ 1.81% Total : 11.84% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 15 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 40 | 12 | 28 | 37 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
7 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Rennes | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 17 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 38 | -23 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |