Coupe de France | Final

May 25, 2024 at 8pm UK

Stade Pierre-Mauroy

Lyon
1 - 2
PSG

O'Brien (55')
Caleta-Car (45+2'), Tagliafico (88')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Dembele (22'), Ruiz (34')
Dembele (88')

The Match

Match Report

Kylian Mbappe closes his Paris Saint-Germain chapter with another Coupe de France winners' medal as Luis Enrique's side beat Lyon 2-1 at the Stade Pierre-Mauroy.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Coupe de France clash between Lyon and Paris Saint-Germain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lyon

All competitions

Coupe de France

Last Game: Lyon 2-1 Strasbourg
Sunday, May 19 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions

Coupe de France

Last Game: Metz 0-2 PSG
Sunday, May 19 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 39.25%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 37.09% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.89%) and 0-2 (5.5%). The likeliest Lyon win was 2-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Paris Saint-Germain in this match.

Result
Lyon	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
37.09% ( 0.42)	23.66% ( 0.05)	39.25% ( -0.48)

Both teams to score 62.75% (

-0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.81% (

-0.23)

39.19% (

0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.48% (

-0.24)

61.52% (

0.23)

Lyon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.7% (

0.11)

21.3% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.76% (

0.17)

54.24% (

-0.17)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.74% (

-0.32)

20.26% (

0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.39% (

-0.51)

52.6% (

0.51)

Score Analysis

Lyon 37.09%

Paris Saint-Germain 39.25%

Draw 23.65%

Lyon	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 8.24% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 6.67% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 5.16% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 4.25% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 3.39% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.66% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.64% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.74% Total : 37.09%	1-1 @ 10.65% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.58% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.32% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.65%	1-2 @ 8.51% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 6.89% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.5% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 4.53% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 3.5% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.81% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 1.4% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.03% Total : 39.25%